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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Hertha
T T T S T
0–5
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,7
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
19%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,36 xG 3,34
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 17. · Wolfsburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 10 5 1 +36 -0.1 35
2 RB Leipzig 17 9 5 3 +14 +2.1 32
3 Ein Frankfurt 16 9 3 4 +11 -0.7 30
4 Union Berlin 16 9 3 4 +6 +1.9 30
5 Freiburg 16 9 3 4 +2 -2.0 30
6 Dortmund 16 9 1 6 +5 +1.2 28
7 Wolfsburg 16 7 5 4 +10 +2.0 26
8 M'gladbach 16 6 4 6 +3 -1.0 22
9 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 +0 +1.0 21
10 Werder Bremen 16 6 3 7 -8 -2.9 21
11 FC Koln 16 5 5 6 -2 +2.9 20
12 Mainz 16 5 5 6 -5 -0.4 20
13 Hoffenheim 16 5 3 8 -2 -1.9 18
14 Bochum 16 5 1 10 -20 +0.6 16
15 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 -9 -1.2 15
16 Stuttgart 16 3 6 7 -9 +0.4 15
17 Hertha 16 3 5 8 -5 -0.6 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 -27 -1.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Wolfsburg
4′
M. Svanberg 0–1
P. Wimmer
Agustín Rogel 🟨
28′
Dodi Lukebakio 🟨
30′
31′
M. Arnold 0–2
34′
J. Wind 0–3
M. Svanberg
Half-time 0–3
F. Uremović 🔁
↦ A. Rogel
46′
M. Plattenhardt 🔁
↦ I. Šunjić
46′
J. Ngankam 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
46′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ M. Richter
64′
70′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ Y. Gerhardt
70′
🔁 K. Paredes
↦ P. Wimmer
72′
R. Baku 0–4
M. Svanberg
78′
🔁 B. Franjić
↦ J. Wind
79′
🔁 Omar Marmoush
↦ J. Kamiński
83′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ M. Arnold
86′
Omar Marmoush 0–5
P. Pekarík 🔁
↦ J. Kenny
87′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
14 D. Lukébakio M
8 S. Serdar M
23 M. Richter M
18 W. Kanga F
Bench (9)
5 F. Uremović
21 M. Plattenhardt
24 J. Ngankam
39 D. Scherhant
2 P. Pekarík
27 K. Boateng
10 J. Boëtius
12 T. Ernst
11 M. Maolida

Coach: S. Schwarz

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
32 M. Svanberg M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
39 P. Wimmer F
23 J. Wind F
16 J. Kamiński F
Bench (9)
29 J. Guilavogui
40 K. Paredes
38 B. Franjić
33 Omar Marmoush
7 L. Waldschmidt
12 P. Pervan
2 K. Fischer
36 L. Ambros
17 M. Philipp

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,45
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.