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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Hoffenheim
U T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,00 xG 0,80
49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hoffenheim 13. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 10 5 1 +36 -0.1 35
2 RB Leipzig 17 9 5 3 +14 +2.1 32
3 Ein Frankfurt 16 9 3 4 +11 -0.7 30
4 Union Berlin 16 9 3 4 +6 +1.9 30
5 Freiburg 16 9 3 4 +2 -2.0 30
6 Dortmund 16 9 1 6 +5 +1.2 28
7 Wolfsburg 16 7 5 4 +10 +2.0 26
8 M'gladbach 16 6 4 6 +3 -1.0 22
9 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 +0 +1.0 21
10 Werder Bremen 16 6 3 7 -8 -2.9 21
11 FC Koln 16 5 5 6 -2 +2.9 20
12 Mainz 16 5 5 6 -5 -0.4 20
13 Hoffenheim 16 5 3 8 -2 -1.9 18
14 Bochum 16 5 1 10 -20 +0.6 16
15 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 -9 -1.2 15
16 Stuttgart 16 3 6 7 -9 +0.4 15
17 Hertha 16 3 5 8 -5 -0.6 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 -27 -1.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Stuttgart
1–0 A. Kramarić
Angeliño
11′
K. Akpoguma 🔁
↦ R. Skov
29′
34′
🔁 C. Führich
↦ Tiago Tomás
Half-time 1–0
M. Dabbur 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
46′
50′
S. Guirassy 1–1
N. Ahamada
58′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
Kevin Akpoguma 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
73′
🟨 Naouirou Ahamada
M. Damar 🔁
↦ A. Stiller
76′
77′
W. Endo 1–2
N. Ahamada
78′
🟨 Naouirou Ahamada
78′
🟥 Naouirou Ahamada
T. Bischof 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
82′
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ S. Rudy
82′
85′
🔁 J. Vagnoman
↦ S. Guirassy
2–2 A. Kramarić
Angeliño
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-4-2-1
1 O. Baumann G
3 P. Kadeřábek D
22 K. Vogt D
34 S. Nsoki D
29 R. Skov M
16 S. Rudy M
13 A. Stiller M
11 Angeliño M
14 C. Baumgartner F
27 A. Kramarić F
9 I. Bebou F
Bench (9)
25 K. Akpoguma
10 M. Dabbur
35 M. Damar
39 T. Bischof
19 K. Dolberg
4 E. Bičakčić
24 J. Che
20 F. Becker
37 L. Philipp

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Stuttgart

4-3-3
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
21 H. Ito D
28 N. Nartey D
32 N. Ahamada M
16 A. Karazor M
3 W. Endo M
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa F
9 S. Guirassy F
10 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
22 C. Führich
11 J. Perea
4 J. Vagnoman
8 E. Millot
15 P. Stenzel
20 L. Pfeiffer
33 F. Bredlow
39 T. Kastanaras
25 L. Egloff

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,62
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.