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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

M'gladbach

T T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

35%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 66%

73%

58%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Freiburg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	20	4	3	+44	64
2	RB Leipzig	27	17	6	4	+26	57
3	Wolfsburg	27	15	9	3	+24	54
4	Ein Frankfurt	27	13	11	3	+18	50
5	Dortmund	27	13	4	10	+16	43
6	Leverkusen	27	12	7	8	+13	43
7	Union Berlin	26	9	11	6	+8	38
8	Freiburg	26	10	7	9	+0	37
9	Stuttgart	26	9	9	8	+6	36
10	M'gladbach	26	9	9	8	+4	36
11	Augsburg	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Hoffenheim	27	8	6	13	-6	30
13	Werder Bremen	26	7	9	10	-7	30
14	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-19	25
15	Hertha	26	6	6	14	-14	24
16	FC Koln	27	5	8	14	-22	23
17	Bielefeld	27	6	5	16	-25	23
18	Schalke 04	27	1	7	19	-54	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	3	0	+32	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Wolfsburg	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	6	0	+12	27
5	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+12	23
6	Union Berlin	13	5	7	1	+10	22
7	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Freiburg	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+4	19
10	Augsburg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
11	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	+4	17
12	Stuttgart	12	3	6	3	+4	15
13	Hertha	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Bielefeld	14	4	1	9	-12	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	13	1	5	7	-9	8
18	Schalke 04	14	1	3	10	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+12	25
3	Wolfsburg	14	6	5	3	+7	23
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Dortmund	14	6	2	6	+4	20
8	M'gladbach	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Werder Bremen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
10	Union Berlin	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Freiburg	12	4	3	5	-6	15
12	FC Koln	14	4	3	7	-13	15
13	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
14	Hoffenheim	14	3	4	7	-10	13
15	Mainz	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Hertha	13	2	4	7	-6	10
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.