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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Sarpsborg 08

T S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Ham-Kam

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

46%

77%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 1,72

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Ham-Kam 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	13	11	0	2	+20	+12.7	33
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	2	2	+23	+20.3	32
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	+8	+5.5	25
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	+4	+2.6	20
6	Valerenga	14	6	2	6	-2	-2.8	20
7	Brann	15	6	1	8	+5	+0.8	19
8	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-2	+1.3	18
9	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-5	-4.2	18
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.0	15
11	Sandefjord	13	4	3	6	-4	-4.6	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
13	KFUM Oslo	13	3	3	7	-8	-5.4	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	-10	-9.6	12
15	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-11	-8.6	12
16	Start	15	2	4	9	-18	-6.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+18	+17.2	18
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
7	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
8	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.0	11
10	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
11	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
12	Sandefjord	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.6	9
13	Brann	7	3	0	4	+0	+3.3	9
14	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	6	1	3	2	-4	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	0	2	+4	+6.5	15
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
3	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
7	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
8	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.0	6
9	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
10	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
11	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
12	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4
15	Ham-Kam	6	0	3	3	-7	-1.3	3
16	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.