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Conference League
Referee: Bastien Dechepy
AZ Alkmaar
U S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Vaduz
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
4,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 Vaduz – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 15. Sep -22 AZ Alkmaar – Vaduz 4–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Vaduz
1–0 T. Parrott ⚽
D. Kasius
29′
Half-time 1–0
Troy Parrott 🟨
53′
Mees de Wit 🟨
62′
65′
🔁 A. Campos
↦ J. De Donno
65′
🔁 M. Hammerich
↦ M. Eberhard
I. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Daal
67′
2–0 T. Parrott ⚽
S. Mijnans
74′
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ E. Poku
75′
Z. Buurmeester 🔁
↦ K. Smit
75′
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ T. Parrott
75′
76′
🔁 G. De Donno
↦ M. Monsberger
Mexx Meerdink 🟨
80′
3–0 M. Meerdink ⚽
M. de Wit
80′
82′
🟨 Gabriele De Donno
M. Chavez Garcia 🔁
↦ M. de Wit
87′
87′
🔁 J. Navarro
↦ R. Dantas Fernandes
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
41 J. Zoet G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
26 K. Smit M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
7 E. Poku F
9 T. Parrott F
27 R. Daal F
Bench (9)
12 H. Verhulst
31 D. Deen
11 I. Sadiq
15 M. Chavez Garcia
17 I. Jensen
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
28 Z. Buurmeester
35 M. Meerdink

Coach: Maarten Martens

Vaduz

4-3-1-2
25 L. Schaffran G
4 N. Hasler D
6 D. Simani D
5 L. Berisha D
7 D. Schwizer
22 M. Eberhard M
20 L. Mack M
8 S. Seiler M
30 R. Dantas Fernandes M
29 J. De Donno F
9 M. Monsberger F
Bench (10)
1 B. Buchel
21 T. Oehri
11 J. Navarro
14 M. Beeli
16 G. De Donno
17 A. Campos
18 A. Hasler
19 F. Hoxha
26 M. Hammerich
27 N. Lang

Coach: Marc Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bastien Dechepy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.