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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Sirius

S S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Goteborg

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

2,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

85%

23%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

85%

54%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

62%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,97 xG 1,85

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Goteborg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	13	11	2	0	+20	+9.4	35
2	Hammarby	14	8	2	4	+18	+11.5	26
3	Djurgarden	13	7	2	4	+12	+5.1	23
4	Hacken	13	6	5	2	+5	+4.1	23
5	Vasteras SK	14	6	4	4	+1	-1.2	22
6	AIK	13	6	3	4	+0	-7.4	21
7	Malmo FF	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.9	20
8	GAIS	14	5	4	5	+4	+2.1	19
9	Elfsborg	14	4	6	4	+1	-0.7	18
10	Mjallby	14	4	5	5	+1	+2.8	17
11	Kalmar	14	5	2	7	-2	+2.0	17
12	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	-3	-6.0	16
13	Goteborg	13	3	4	6	-13	+1.7	13
14	Degerfors	14	2	4	8	-12	-8.8	10
15	Orgryte	14	2	4	8	-19	-8.1	10
16	Halmstad	13	1	3	9	-18	-10.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+21	+10.0	19
2	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
3	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
4	GAIS	7	4	2	1	+9	+0.1	14
5	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
6	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+1	+2.3	11
7	Djurgarden	7	3	1	3	+7	+3.0	10
8	Malmo FF	6	3	0	3	+6	+4.3	9
9	Vasteras SK	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.6	9
10	AIK	6	3	0	3	-2	-1.4	9
11	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	+1	+3.6	7
12	Orgryte	7	1	4	2	-1	-0.9	7
13	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.4	5
14	Goteborg	6	1	2	3	-3	+4.2	5
15	Halmstad	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.8	5
16	Degerfors	8	1	2	5	-8	-6.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+11	+3.4	19
2	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+5	+2.1	13
3	Vasteras SK	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.8	13
4	Hacken	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.8	12
5	AIK	7	3	3	1	+2	-6.0	12
6	Malmo FF	7	3	2	2	-1	-0.4	11
7	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
8	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
9	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-10	-2.5	8
10	Hammarby	6	2	1	3	-3	+1.5	7
11	Elfsborg	6	1	3	2	-1	+0.8	6
12	Degerfors	6	1	2	3	-4	-2.5	5
13	GAIS	7	1	2	4	-5	+2.1	5
14	Orgryte	7	1	0	6	-18	-7.2	3
15	Halmstad	6	0	1	5	-11	-4.5	1
16	Kalmar	6	0	0	6	-9	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.