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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Wolfsburg
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
6 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 8. · Hoffenheim 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +12 11
3 Dortmund 5 3 1 1 +8 10
4 Freiburg 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Schalke 04 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
9 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Werder Bremen 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -4 5
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 FC Koln 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Mainz 5 1 0 4 -10 3
18 Paderborn 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hoffenheim
6′
S. Rudy 0–1
P. Kadeřábek
14′
🟨 Stefan Posch
1–1 A. Mehmedi
W. Weghorst
36′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🟨 Dennis Geiger
Yannick Gerhardt 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 S. Adamyan
↦ I. Belfodil
L. Nmecha 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
73′
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 C. Baumgartner
↦ D. Geiger
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ William
78′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ A. Mehmedi
86′
88′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ S. Posch
90′
🟨 Sargis Adamyan
90′
🟨 Kevin Akpoguma
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
12 P. Pervan G
31 R. Knoche D
32 M. Tisserand D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William M
14 A. Mehmedi F
23 J. Guilavogui D
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
7 J. Brekalo F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
22 L. Nmecha
19 K. Mbabu
11 F. Klaus
10 Y. Mallı
40 João Victor
5 J. Bruma
36 P. Menzel
15 J. Roussillon
38 I. Azzaoui

Coach: O. Glasner

Hoffenheim

4-1-4-1
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
22 K. Vogt D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
38 S. Posch D
16 S. Rudy M
11 F. Grillitsch M
29 R. Skov D
8 D. Geiger M
19 I. Belfodil F
9 I. Bebou M
Bench (8)
23 S. Adamyan
14 C. Baumgartner
25 K. Akpoguma
12 P. Pentke
5 K. Stafylidis
7 L. Rupp
6 H. Nordtveit
4 E. Bičakčić

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,81
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.