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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Sp Braga

T U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Maritimo

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%

26 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Braga 17. · Maritimo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+12	15
3	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Boavista	6	2	4	0	+2	10
6	Guimaraes	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Tondela	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Sp Lisbon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Santa Clara	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Setubal	6	1	4	1	-3	7
12	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	4	1	-3	7
13	Gil Vicente	7	1	4	2	-4	7
14	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Aves	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Gil Vicente	5	1	4	0	+1	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Moreirense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Setubal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
9	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Tondela	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Lisbon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Portimonense	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
14	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.