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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Aberdeen
S T S S U
4–2
Full-time
Hamilton
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 44%
67%
20%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
22%
60%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Hamilton 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 11 9 2 0 +23 29
2 Celtic 10 8 1 1 +18 25
3 Hibernian 11 6 3 2 +6 21
4 Aberdeen 9 6 1 2 +4 19
5 Kilmarnock 10 4 2 4 +3 14
6 Dundee United 11 3 3 5 -8 12
7 Ross County 11 3 3 5 -9 12
8 Livingston 11 3 2 6 -5 11
9 ST Johnstone 11 3 1 7 -7 10
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 -6 8
11 St Mirren 10 2 1 7 -9 7
12 Hamilton 10 2 1 7 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Feb -20 Hamilton – Aberdeen 1–3 14. Dec -19 Aberdeen – Hamilton 1–0 30. Oct -19 Hamilton – Aberdeen 0–1

Match report

Aberdeen Hamilton
1–0 T. Hoban ⚽
R. Hedges
14′
2–0 L. Ferguson ⚽
R. Edmondson
21′
3–0 R. Edmondson ⚽
J. Hayes
24′
4–0 R. Edmondson ⚽
31′
32′
⚽ D. Moyo 4–1
R. Callachan
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
33′
Half-time 4–1
R. McCrorie 🔁
↦ R. Edmondson
56′
F. Ojo 🔁
↦ D. McGeouch
57′
58′
🔁 C. Trafford
↦ S. Martin
63′
🔁 R. Mimnaugh
↦ W. Collar
68′
⚽ R. Callachan 4–2
80′
🔁 B. Stirling
↦ R. Callachan
80′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ R. Hughes
Connor McLennan 🟨
86′
N. McGinn 🔁
↦ S. Wright
87′
90′
🟨 Hakeem Odofin
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
14 A. Taylor D
3 T. Hoban D
17 J. Hayes M
15 D. McGeouch M
11 R. Hedges M
25 S. Wright F
19 L. Ferguson M
50 M. Watkins F
32 R. Edmondson F
Bench (9)
18 C. McLennan
40 R. McCrorie
8 F. Ojo
10 N. McGinn
43 G. Woods
33 M. Kennedy
5 G. Leigh
2 S. Logan
16 S. Cosgrove

Coach: D. McInnes

Hamilton

4-4-2
23 R. Fulton G
27 L. Hodson D
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
34 R. Callachan M
8 S. Martin M
15 R. Hughes M
7 W. Collar M
20 D. Moyo F
9 M. Ogkmpoe F
Bench (9)
14 C. Trafford
18 R. Mimnaugh
4 B. Stirling
32 C. Smith
22 K. Gourlay
5 B. Easton
37 J. Johnson
36 T. Owolabi
17 G. Stanger

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
🔒
U
4,99
🔒
B
9,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.