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Super League

Referee: Ə Ağayev

PAOK

T S S S S

1–1

Full-time

AEK

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,5

3,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,3

This season — Super League · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 69%

70%

68%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

74%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,5

2,1

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 1. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	23	16	3	4	+41	51
2	Olympiakos	24	16	3	5	+30	51
3	AEK	22	15	6	1	+29	51
4	Panathinaikos	23	16	2	5	+37	50
5	Lamia	24	10	7	7	-2	37
6	Aris Thessalonikis	22	10	5	7	+8	35
7	Aris	22	10	5	7	+8	35
8	Asteras Tripolis	24	10	2	12	-8	32
9	Atromitos	23	6	8	9	-13	26
10	Panserraikos	24	5	9	10	-13	24
11	OFI Crete	24	5	8	11	-20	23
12	Panetolikos	24	4	6	14	-24	18
13	Volos NFC	23	3	8	12	-23	17
14	Kifisia	24	3	8	13	-26	17
15	Giannina	24	2	8	14	-24	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	12	10	2	0	+27	32
2	AEK	12	9	3	0	+19	30
3	Olympiakos	12	9	0	3	+22	27
4	Panathinaikos	10	8	1	1	+23	25
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Aris	11	7	2	2	+8	23
7	Lamia	12	7	2	3	+5	23
8	OFI Crete	12	5	4	3	+1	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	12	6	1	5	-3	19
10	Panserraikos	11	3	6	2	+0	15
11	Atromitos	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-8	15
13	Kifisia	13	2	5	6	-9	11
14	Giannina	12	2	4	6	-8	10
15	Volos NFC	12	2	3	7	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	13	8	1	4	+14	25
2	Olympiakos	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	AEK	10	6	3	1	+10	21
4	PAOK	11	6	1	4	+14	19
5	Lamia	12	3	5	4	-7	14
6	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	1	7	-5	13
7	Aris Thessalonikis	11	3	3	5	+0	12
8	Aris	11	3	3	5	+0	12
9	Atromitos	12	3	2	7	-11	11
10	Panserraikos	13	2	3	8	-13	9
11	Volos NFC	11	1	5	5	-11	8
12	Kifisia	11	1	3	7	-17	6
13	Giannina	12	0	4	8	-16	4
14	OFI Crete	12	0	4	8	-21	4
15	Panetolikos	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.