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Süper Lig
Referee: Kadir Saglam
Besiktas
U T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Gaziantep
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,05 xG 0,89
58% Possession 42%
29 Shots 9
13 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 6. · Gaziantep 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 15 11 3 1 +21 +16.2 36
2 Trabzonspor 15 10 4 1 +14 +2.1 34
3 Fenerbahce 15 9 6 0 +18 +18.5 33
4 Goztep 15 7 5 3 +9 +3.8 26
5 Samsunspor 15 6 7 2 +6 +7.8 25
6 Besiktas 14 7 3 4 +7 +13.3 24
7 Gaziantep 14 6 4 4 -1 +0.4 22
8 Kocaelispor 15 5 4 6 -3 -1.4 19
9 Buyuksehyr 15 4 5 6 +3 -1.9 17
10 Alanyaspor 15 3 8 4 -1 -4.5 17
11 Konyaspor 15 4 4 7 -4 -2.7 16
12 Rizespor 15 3 6 6 -6 -1.6 15
13 Antalyaspor 15 4 3 8 -11 -10.1 15
14 Genclerbirligi 15 4 2 9 -4 -7.7 14
15 Kasimpasa 15 3 5 7 -7 -7.9 14
16 Eyüpspor 15 3 4 8 -8 -3.5 13
17 Kayserispor 15 2 7 6 -17 -9.9 13
18 Karagumruk 15 2 2 11 -16 -10.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Gaziantep
7′
M. Bayo 0–1
L. Perez
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ C. Under
23′
30′
🟨 Alexandru Maxim
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
31′
1–1 E. B. Toure
35′
Half-time 1–1
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ Jota Silva
46′
51′
🟨 Drissa Camara
66′
M. Bayo 1–2
D. Camara
68′
🟨 Arda Kızıldağ
2–2 T. Abraham
V. Cerny
70′
Gökhan Sazdağı 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 S. Guler
↦ T. T. Sanuc
78′
🔁 Y. Kabadayi
↦ A. Maxim
Emirhan Topçu 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Yusuf Kabadayi
82′
🔁 B. Ndiaye
↦ D. Camara
Tammy Abraham 🟨
85′
T. Djalo 🔁
↦ R. Yilmaz
87′
95′
🟨 Badou Ndiaye
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoglu G
25 G. Sazdagi D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
53 E. Topcu D
33 R. Yilmaz D
4 W. Ndidi M
10 O. Kokcu M
11 C. Under M
18 V. Cerny M
26 Jota Silva M
19 E. B. Toure F
Bench (10)
1 M. Gunok
5 D. E. Tiknaz
7 M. Rashica
8 S. Ucan
9 T. Abraham
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz
22 T. Bulut
35 T. Djalo
39 D. Jurasek
52 D. Sahin

Coach: Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın

Gaziantep

3-4-2-1
20 Z. Gorgen G
23 T. T. Sanuc D
14 M. Abena D
4 A. Kizildag D
2 L. Perez M
61 O. Ozcicek M
3 D. Camara M
77 K. Rodrigues M
10 K. Kozlowski F
44 A. Maxim F
9 M. Bayo F
Bench (10)
71 M. Bozan
38 R. Nizet
17 S. Guler
27 E. Kulasin
5 B. Ndiaye
7 J. Bacuna
32 Y. Kabadayi
18 D. Sorescu
11 C. Lungoyi
21 E. Boateng

Coach: Burak Yılmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U ✓
4,57
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kadir Saglam · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.