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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Küçük
Besiktas
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Gaziantep
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,77 xG 0,82
59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 9
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Gaziantep 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 21 5 0 +37 +23.8 68
2 Fenerbahce 25 19 4 2 +40 +31.7 61
3 Samsunspor 26 15 5 6 +14 +10.7 50
4 Besiktas 24 12 8 4 +15 +12.0 44
5 Eyüpspor 26 12 7 7 +11 +0.1 43
6 Goztep 25 10 6 9 +10 +14.2 36
7 Buyuksehyr 25 10 6 9 +7 +6.6 36
8 Rizespor 26 10 3 13 -10 +3.8 33
9 Antalyaspor 26 9 6 11 -17 -12.3 33
10 Trabzonspor 25 8 8 9 +9 -1.3 32
11 Gaziantep 24 9 5 10 -1 -5.3 32
12 Kasimpasa 26 7 11 8 -6 -1.2 32
13 Alanyaspor 26 8 7 11 -8 -1.2 31
14 Konyaspor 26 7 7 12 -8 -8.0 28
15 Sivasspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -15.8 27
16 Bodrumspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -1.4 27
17 Kayserispor 25 6 9 10 -18 -5.3 27
18 Hatayspor 25 3 7 15 -18 -20.5 16
19 Ad. Demirspor 26 2 4 20 -35 -30.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Gaziantep
9′
🟨 Emmanuel Boateng
29′
🟨 Bruno Viana
1–0 C. Immobile
31′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Ogün Özçiçek
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ O. Özçiçek
61′
A. Kızıldağ 1–1
A. Maxim
64′
🟨 Arda Kızıldağ
64′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ A. Kızıldağ
Emirhan Topçu 🟨
67′
68′
🟨 Deian Sorescu
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
68′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ T. Sanuç
69′
77′
🟨 Bruno Viana
77′
🟥 Bruno Viana
K. Arroyo 🔁
↦ João Mário
79′
A. Hadžiahmetović 🔁
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
79′
82′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ E. Boateng
82′
🔁 E. Ersoy
↦ A. Maxim
83′
🟨 Kacper Kozłowski
84′
🟨 Mustafa Burak Bozan
S. Kılıçsoy 🔁
↦ A. Masuaku
87′
87′
F. Soyalp 1–2
K. Kozłowski
97′
🟨 Ertuğrul Ersoy
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
5 T. Sanuç D
53 E. Topçu D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
83 Gedson Fernandes M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa M
18 João Mário M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (10)
23 E. Muçi
4 O. Bulut
10 K. Arroyo
6 A. Hadžiahmetović
9 S. Kılıçsoy
3 Gabriel Paulista
94 G. Baytekin
30 E. Destanoğlu
91 M. Hekimoğlu
8 S. Uçan

Coach: O. Solskjær

Gaziantep

3-5-2
71 B. Bozan G
36 Bruno Viana D
4 A. Kızıldağ D
51 A. Husic D
18 D. Sorescu M
25 O. Özçiçek M
20 B. Ndiaye M
44 A. Maxim M
77 D. Okereke M
10 K. Kozłowski F
21 E. Boateng F
Bench (10)
8 F. Soyalp
17 S. Güler
11 C. Lungoyi
5 E. Ersoy
1 S. Dioudis
9 H. Dervişoğlu
22 S. M'Bakata
3 E. Taşdemir
23 M. Gümüşkaya
19 K. Kodro

Coach: S. İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,49
U
4,47
B ✓
5,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Z Küçük · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.