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Süper Lig

Referee: M Kalkavan

Besiktas

S T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Gaziantep

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 1,12

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Besiktas 6. · Gaziantep 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	10	0	0	+24	+20.6	30
2	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+14	+14.3	28
3	Ad. Demirspor	10	6	2	2	+11	+5.7	20
4	Kasimpasa	10	5	3	2	+0	-3.0	18
5	Trabzonspor	10	5	1	4	+5	+0.1	16
6	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+4.1	16
7	Kayserispor	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.7	16
8	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+4	+3.7	14
9	Rizespor	10	4	2	4	-5	-5.7	14
10	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	-1	-0.9	13
11	Ankaragücü	10	3	3	4	+3	-1.0	12
12	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-1	-0.1	12
13	Karagumruk	10	2	4	4	+0	-5.5	10
14	Alanyaspor	10	2	4	4	-4	-0.5	10
15	Konyaspor	10	2	3	5	-6	-4.8	9
16	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-8	-6.2	9
17	Buyuksehyr	10	2	2	6	-7	-4.1	8
18	Pendikspor	10	1	4	5	-13	-6.9	7
19	İstanbulspor	9	1	2	6	-9	-7.8	5
20	Samsunspor	9	0	2	7	-11	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	6	6	0	0	+14	+6.2	18
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+13	+10.8	15
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.1	12
4	Trabzonspor	5	4	0	1	+5	+2.2	12
5	Kayserispor	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.3	11
6	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.9	10
7	Kasimpasa	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.3	10
8	Ankaragücü	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
9	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.5	8
10	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.8	8
11	Antalyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.3	8
12	Rizespor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.0	8
13	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-3.2	6
14	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.1	6
15	Konyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-1.2	4
16	İstanbulspor	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.2	4
17	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
18	Sivasspor	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.2	3
19	Pendikspor	5	0	2	3	-10	-6.3	2
20	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+8	+7.3	16
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+11	+9.7	15
3	Sivasspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.1	10
4	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.2	8
5	Hatayspor	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.2	6
6	Besiktas	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.8	6
7	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-6	-5.8	6
8	Pendikspor	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.6	5
9	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-3	-5.0	5
10	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.6	5
11	Buyuksehyr	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
12	Trabzonspor	5	1	1	3	+0	-2.1	4
13	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
14	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-1	-3.3	4
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.4	4
16	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
17	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.5	2
18	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.3	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.6	1
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.