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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Eibar
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Cartagena
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
25%
56%
Both score Ø 41%
25%
56%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 14. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 4 2 +12 37
2 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
3 Mirandes 17 9 4 4 +6 31
4 Sp Gijon 17 8 5 4 +9 29
5 Levante 16 8 5 3 +8 29
6 Elche 17 7 5 5 +7 26
7 Granada 17 7 5 5 +4 26
8 Oviedo 17 7 5 5 -2 26
9 Zaragoza 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Castellon 17 7 4 6 +4 25
11 Huesca 17 6 5 6 +6 23
12 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
13 Malaga 17 4 10 3 -3 22
14 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -2 21
15 La Coruna 17 5 5 7 +2 20
16 Eldense 17 5 4 8 -4 19
17 Cadiz 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Burgos 17 5 3 9 -9 18
19 Cordoba 17 4 5 8 -10 17
20 Ferrol 17 2 9 6 -8 15
21 Tenerife 16 2 5 9 -10 11
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Cartagena
1–0 Jorge Pascual
Cristian Gutiérrez
27′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ Ríos Reina
Xeber Alkain 🔁
↦ Jon Guruzeta
66′
70′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Dani Escriche
71′
🔁 Luis Muñoz
↦ Andy Rodríguez
71′
🔁 L. Román
↦ Hugo González
73′
🟨 Pedro Alcalá
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
75′
K. Hashimoto 🔁
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
75′
Ander Madariaga ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
Hodei Arrillaga 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
17 José Corpas D
4 Álvaro Carrillo D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
29 Ander Madariaga M
21 Jon Guruzeta M
20 Antonio Puertas M
11 Jorge Pascual F
Bench (11)
7 Xeber Alkain
9 Jon Bautista
15 K. Hashimoto
14 Hodei Arrillaga
26 Ibon Ispizua
19 Toni Villa
2 Sergio Cubero
27 Slavy
35 Oscar Carrasco
5 Chema Rodríguez
18 Martín Merquelanz

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Pablo Cuñat G
2 Jorge Moreno D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
3 Ríos Reina D
18 D. Musto M
17 Andy Rodríguez M
23 Cedric Teguia M
10 Dani Escriche M
34 Hugo González M
7 G. Valles F
Bench (9)
20 Jairo Izquierdo
9 Alfredo Ortuño
8 Luis Muñoz
37 L. Román
24 N. Šipčić
28 Jesús Hernández
27 Carmelo Sánchez
40 Toni Fuidias
30 Jhafets Christ

Coach: Jandro Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
3,75
B
6,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.