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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Kayserispor

T U U U T

0–3

Full-time

Besiktas

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

80%

Points per game

0,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,49 xG 1,89

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+15	+3.7	19
2	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+11	+9.9	16
3	Samsunspor	7	5	0	2	+5	+4.5	15
4	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+4.4	13
5	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.3	13
6	Eyüpspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.9	12
7	Goztep	6	2	3	1	+4	-0.7	9
8	Bodrumspor	7	3	0	4	-2	+1.1	9
9	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	-2	+1.4	9
10	Trabzonspor	6	1	5	0	+1	-1.5	8
11	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.3	8
12	Sivasspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-5.0	8
13	Antalyaspor	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.0	8
14	Kasimpasa	7	1	4	2	-2	+1.8	7
15	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-4	-1.1	4
16	Rizespor	7	1	1	5	-12	-2.7	4
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.3	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+8	+6.5	10
2	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
3	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.7	7
4	Eyüpspor	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
5	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
6	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
7	Bodrumspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.9	6
8	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
10	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.3	6
11	Trabzonspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
12	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.3	2
15	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
18	Rizespor	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.2	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+4.8	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
3	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
4	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.2	7
5	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.5	5
7	Eyüpspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
8	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
9	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
10	Trabzonspor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.4	3
11	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
12	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
13	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.2	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3
15	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
19	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.