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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Gryckiewicz

Cracovia

S T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,2

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

67%

13%

Both score Ø 52%

78%

25%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,9

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,71 xG 0,39

54% Possession 46%

20 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cracovia 4. · Stal Mielec 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	+15	+4.8	25
2	Jagiellonia	10	7	0	3	+1	-1.0	21
3	Rakow	10	6	2	2	+9	+6.7	20
4	Cracovia	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.8	19
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	1	4	+3	+3.8	16
6	Widzew Lodz	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.5	16
7	Legia	10	4	3	3	+6	+4.2	15
8	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+1	+1.8	15
9	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	3	4	+0	+1.0	12
10	GKS Katowice	10	3	3	4	-1	-4.4	12
11	Motor Lublin	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.8	12
12	Zaglebie	10	3	2	5	-7	-2.3	11
13	Radomiak Radom	9	3	0	6	-2	+0.4	9
14	Lechia Gdansk	10	2	3	5	-7	-6.6	9
15	Korona Kielce	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.0	9
16	Puszcza	10	1	5	4	-3	-1.8	8
17	Stal Mielec	8	2	1	5	-4	+0.9	7
18	Slask Wroclaw	8	0	4	4	-6	+0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	5	5	0	0	+12	+5.6	15
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	5	0	0	+9	+6.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+4	+4.2	12
4	Legia	6	3	1	2	+6	+5.9	10
5	Widzew Lodz	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
6	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.4	10
7	GKS Katowice	6	2	2	2	+2	-2.6	8
8	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
9	Motor Lublin	6	2	2	2	-2	+0.2	8
10	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+4	+3.6	7
11	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
12	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.4	7
13	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.0	7
14	Radomiak Radom	4	2	0	2	+3	+3.6	6
15	Puszcza	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.7	6
16	Korona Kielce	5	2	0	3	-1	+1.1	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.3	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	5	4	1	0	+5	+3.1	13
2	Cracovia	5	4	0	1	+5	-0.4	12
3	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	-0.9	10
4	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	-3	-5.3	9
5	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
6	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	-1	-2.1	6
7	Legia	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
8	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.0	5
9	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
10	GKS Katowice	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.8	4
11	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.2	4
12	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
13	Korona Kielce	5	0	3	2	-7	-5.1	3
14	Puszcza	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.6	2
15	Slask Wroclaw	5	0	1	4	-6	-1.4	1
16	Pogon Szczecin	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.2	1
17	Zaglebie	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.6	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.