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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Alanyaspor

T T U S S

3–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,11 xG 0,98

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 17. · Samsunspor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	14	2	1	+30	+27.6	44
2	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+23	+23.8	44
3	Trabzonspor	17	9	3	5	+11	+0.7	30
4	Kayserispor	17	8	5	4	+4	-3.2	29
5	Ad. Demirspor	17	7	6	4	+9	-0.5	27
6	Besiktas	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.7	26
7	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	-1	-3.7	25
8	Antalyaspor	17	6	6	5	+4	+0.1	24
9	Kasimpasa	16	6	4	6	-4	-5.8	22
10	Sivasspor	17	5	6	6	-7	-2.8	21
11	Hatayspor	16	4	7	5	+2	+3.7	19
12	Ankaragücü	16	4	7	5	+0	-2.2	19
13	Buyuksehyr	17	5	4	8	-3	-3.1	19
14	Gaziantep	17	6	1	10	-7	-5.3	19
15	Konyaspor	17	4	6	7	-4	-2.4	18
16	Karagumruk	17	4	5	8	+0	-6.0	17
17	Alanyaspor	16	4	5	7	-9	-2.4	17
18	Samsunspor	16	4	3	9	-8	+2.5	15
19	Pendikspor	16	3	4	9	-21	-11.3	13
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	2	13	-20	-15.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+14	+15.2	24
2	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+16	+14.6	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	9	7	1	1	+14	+3.6	22
4	Kayserispor	9	5	3	1	+7	+4.2	18
5	Rizespor	8	5	2	1	+7	+3.4	17
6	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+5	+2.2	16
7	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+4	+3.8	16
8	Antalyaspor	9	4	4	1	+3	-0.5	16
9	Buyuksehyr	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.7	13
10	Kasimpasa	8	4	1	3	-1	-3.4	13
11	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
12	Karagumruk	9	3	3	3	+3	-1.5	12
13	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
14	Samsunspor	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.2	11
15	Ankaragücü	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.4	11
16	Gaziantep	8	3	1	4	-3	-3.0	10
17	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.0	9
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
20	Pendikspor	7	1	2	4	-11	-7.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.6	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.5	14
4	Sivasspor	9	4	1	4	-5	-5.7	13
5	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	-3	-7.5	11
6	Besiktas	8	3	1	4	-3	+1.9	10
7	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.5	9
8	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.3	9
9	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	+1	+0.6	8
10	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	2	4	-7	-3.4	8
12	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-8	-7.1	8
13	Pendikspor	9	2	2	5	-10	-3.4	8
14	Hatayspor	9	1	4	4	-1	+1.1	7
15	Konyaspor	8	1	4	3	-5	-3.5	7
16	Buyuksehyr	9	1	3	5	-7	-3.7	6
17	Karagumruk	8	1	2	5	-3	-4.5	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	8	0	5	3	-5	-4.1	5
19	Samsunspor	8	1	1	6	-8	+1.3	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.