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Süper Lig
Referee: Cuneyt Cakir
Besiktas
S T U S S
3–0
Full-time
Denizlispor
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
67%
20%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 53%
54%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 2. · Denizlispor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 17 3 5 +31 54
2 Besiktas 24 16 3 5 +27 51
3 Fenerbahce 25 16 3 6 +20 51
4 Trabzonspor 25 14 6 5 +8 48
5 Alanyaspor 25 12 6 7 +16 42
6 Hatayspor 25 12 6 7 +12 42
7 Gaziantep 26 10 10 6 +8 40
8 Karagumruk 25 10 7 8 +5 37
9 Antalyaspor 25 7 12 6 -5 33
10 Goztep 25 8 8 9 +4 32
11 Konyaspor 25 8 7 10 +2 31
12 Sivasspor 24 7 10 7 -1 31
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 26 7 10 9 -2 31
14 Kasimpasa 25 8 5 12 -11 29
15 Rizespor 25 6 9 10 -12 27
16 Kayserispor 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Erzurumspor 25 6 7 12 -15 25
18 Buyuksehyr 25 6 6 13 -16 24
19 Denizlispor 25 5 6 14 -20 21
20 Genclerbirligi 25 5 6 14 -25 21
21 Ankaragücü 24 5 5 14 -13 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Denizlispor
1–0 C. Larin
22′
Cyle Larin ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
30′
38′
🔁 M. Bakalorz
↦ M. Yumlu
2–0 V. Aboubakar
38′
3–0 A. Ljajić
V. Aboubakar
39′
45′
ℹ️ Hugo Rodallega
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Ö. Özdemir
↦ Tiago Lopes
54′
🟨 Angelo Sagal
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ A. Ljajić
65′
G. Töre 🔁
↦ G. NKoudou
65′
68′
🔁 H. Ayaroğlu
↦ M. Diskerud
68′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ M. Mešanović
O. Özyakup 🔁
↦ D. Vida
74′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ A. Hutchinson
83′
83′
🔁 M. Dossevi
↦ Á. Sagal
A. Hasić 🔁
↦ V. Aboubakar
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
22 A. Ljajić M
7 G. N'Koudou M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
20 N. Uysal
70 G. Töre
10 O. Özyakup
26 D. Toköz
19 A. Hasić
18 R. Ghezzal
43 B. Mensah
46 S. Saatçı
33 R. Yılmaz
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: S. Yalçın

Denizlispor

4-1-4-1
19 C. Gönen G
22 M. Yumlu D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
30 A. Ben Mohamed D
42 M. Diskerud M
8 R. Murawski M
5 K. Aktaş M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
Bench (10)
6 M. Bakalorz
76 Ö. Özdemir
70 H. Ayaroğlu
9 H. Sacko
14 M. Dossevi
15 O. Yılmaz
29 C. Pantilimon
61 A. Kol
23 S. Aytaç
3 M. Özkal

Coach: H. Kutlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,44
B
8,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Cuneyt Cakir · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.