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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Sivasspor

T U U S U

1–1

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 48%

28%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

44%

78%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 13. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	19	13	2	4	+23	41
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	2	4	+16	38
3	Galatasaray	19	11	3	5	+23	36
4	Gaziantep	19	9	7	3	+10	34
5	Alanyaspor	19	9	4	6	+13	31
6	Hatayspor	19	9	4	6	+4	31
7	Trabzonspor	19	8	6	5	+1	30
8	Karagumruk	19	7	6	6	+3	27
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	19	7	6	6	+2	27
10	Goztep	19	6	7	6	+6	25
11	Antalyaspor	19	6	7	6	-6	25
12	Rizespor	19	6	6	7	-8	24
13	Sivasspor	18	5	8	5	-2	23
14	Buyuksehyr	19	6	5	8	-6	23
15	Konyaspor	19	6	4	9	+0	22
16	Kasimpasa	18	6	4	8	-8	22
17	Kayserispor	19	5	4	10	-9	19
18	Genclerbirligi	19	5	4	10	-19	19
19	Erzurumspor	20	4	5	11	-16	17
20	Ankaragücü	18	4	3	11	-9	15
21	Denizlispor	19	3	5	11	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+18	21
3	Gaziantep	9	6	3	0	+10	21
4	Alanyaspor	9	6	2	1	+14	20
5	Karagumruk	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Hatayspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	5	3	1	+7	18
8	Rizespor	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-1	17
10	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	+3	16
11	Trabzonspor	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+8	15
13	Konyaspor	9	4	2	3	+4	14
14	Kasimpasa	9	4	2	3	-2	14
15	Buyuksehyr	9	3	4	2	+3	13
16	Genclerbirligi	9	3	3	3	-3	12
17	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-4	11
18	Ankaragücü	9	3	1	5	+0	10
19	Sivasspor	9	2	3	4	-3	9
20	Erzurumspor	10	0	5	5	-7	5
21	Denizlispor	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+13	22
2	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Galatasaray	9	5	0	4	+5	15
4	Sivasspor	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	Trabzonspor	9	3	5	1	+1	14
6	Gaziantep	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Hatayspor	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Erzurumspor	10	4	0	6	-9	12
9	Alanyaspor	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Goztep	9	2	4	3	-2	10
11	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Denizlispor	10	2	3	5	-11	9
14	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-4	8
15	Antalyaspor	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Kayserispor	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Kasimpasa	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	Karagumruk	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Genclerbirligi	10	2	1	7	-16	7
20	Rizespor	9	1	3	5	-11	6
21	Ankaragücü	9	1	2	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.