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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Trabzonspor
S U S T S
6–2
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
31 Shots 8
13 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 4. · Kayserispor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 16 10 4 2 +18 34
2 Buyuksehyr 16 8 6 2 +11 30
3 Besiktas 17 9 3 5 +5 30
4 Trabzonspor 16 8 5 3 +12 29
5 Fenerbahce 16 8 4 4 +12 28
6 Alanyaspor 16 7 5 4 +14 26
7 Galatasaray 16 6 6 4 +3 24
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 16 6 5 5 +10 23
9 Goztep 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Gaziantep 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Denizlispor 17 6 4 7 -4 22
12 Rizespor 16 6 2 8 -9 20
13 Genclerbirligi 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Kasimpasa 16 4 3 9 -4 15
15 Konyaspor 16 3 6 7 -8 15
16 Antalyaspor 16 3 5 8 -13 14
17 Ankaragücü 17 2 6 9 -19 12
18 Kayserispor 16 2 4 10 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Kayserispor
1–0 A. Sørloth
A. Parmak
7′
2–0 A. Nwakaeme
J. Sosa
37′
43′
Ö. Uzun 2–1
H. Acar
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Sturridge
A. Sørloth
47′
E. Kardeşler 🔁
↦ U. Çakır
56′
62′
🔁 F. Polat
↦ Z. Alkurt
64′
🟨 Mert Kula
4–1 D. Sturridge
66′
70′
🟨 Yasir Subaşı
5–1 A. Parmak
71′
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ A. Nwakaeme
73′
77′
🔁 S. Seyhun
↦ E. Demir
82′
A. Kravets 5–2
Ö. Uzun
C. Tosun 🔁
↦ D. Sturridge
84′
86′
🔁 Ü. Zambak
↦ Ö. Uzun
6–2 A. Sørloth
J. Sosa
93′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
77 F. Novák D
22 G. Campi D
4 H. Türkmen D
12 M. Obi M
8 J. Sosa M
61 A. Parmak M
19 D. Sturridge M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
11 A. Sørloth F
Bench (10)
16 E. Kardeşler
18 C. Ekuban
41 C. Tosun
2 K. Çörekçi
26 F. Üzüm
14 Ivanildo Fernandes
90 S. Asan
7 D. Avdijaj
5 M. Hosseini
33 A. Dursun

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
95 İ. Çipe G
27 B. Dja Djédjé M
24 M. Kula D
32 Y. Subaşı D
2 R. Civelek D
78 O. Çötür D
61 Z. Alkurt M
8 H. Acar M
11 A. Kravets F
19 Ö. Uzun M
14 E. Demir M
Bench (9)
98 F. Polat
97 S. Seyhun
39 Ü. Zambak
1 H. Arıkan
16 D. Alemdar
48 B. Doğan
34 E. Çifci
20 A. Aktaş
28 E. Özbek

Coach: O. Mahir

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
8,56
B
18,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,29
U2,5
3,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.