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Süper Lig

Referee: Alper Ulusoy

Fenerbahce

S S S S U

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

63%

26%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

74%

26%

Both score Ø 50%

63%

37%

Average goals

3,3

1,9

Scored

2,1

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

21 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Kayserispor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	20	14	2	4	+24	44
2	Galatasaray	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Fenerbahce	19	12	3	4	+16	39
4	Gaziantep	20	9	8	3	+10	35
5	Alanyaspor	20	10	4	6	+14	34
6	Trabzonspor	20	9	6	5	+2	33
7	Hatayspor	20	9	5	6	+4	32
8	Karagumruk	20	8	6	6	+4	30
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	20	7	6	7	+1	27
10	Antalyaspor	20	6	8	6	-6	26
11	Goztep	20	6	7	7	+5	25
12	Kasimpasa	20	7	4	9	-7	25
13	Rizespor	20	6	7	7	-8	25
14	Sivasspor	20	5	9	6	-4	24
15	Buyuksehyr	20	6	6	8	-6	24
16	Konyaspor	20	6	5	9	+0	23
17	Kayserispor	19	5	4	10	-9	19
18	Genclerbirligi	20	5	4	11	-20	19
19	Ankaragücü	20	5	3	12	-9	18
20	Erzurumspor	20	4	5	11	-16	17
21	Denizlispor	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	10	8	1	1	+20	25
2	Alanyaspor	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Gaziantep	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+18	21
5	Karagumruk	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Hatayspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Rizespor	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Kasimpasa	10	5	2	3	+0	17
10	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-1	17
11	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	+3	16
12	Trabzonspor	10	5	1	4	+0	16
13	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+8	15
14	Konyaspor	10	4	3	3	+4	15
15	Buyuksehyr	10	3	5	2	+3	14
16	Ankaragücü	10	4	1	5	+1	13
17	Genclerbirligi	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-4	11
19	Sivasspor	10	2	4	4	-3	10
20	Erzurumspor	10	0	5	5	-7	5
21	Denizlispor	10	1	2	7	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Galatasaray	10	6	0	4	+6	18
4	Trabzonspor	10	4	5	1	+2	17
5	Sivasspor	10	3	5	2	-1	14
6	Hatayspor	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Gaziantep	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Erzurumspor	10	4	0	6	-9	12
9	Alanyaspor	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Goztep	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Karagumruk	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-9	10
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Antalyaspor	10	1	6	3	-5	9
15	Denizlispor	10	2	3	5	-11	9
16	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-4	8
17	Kayserispor	9	2	2	5	-5	8
18	Kasimpasa	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Rizespor	10	1	4	5	-11	7
20	Genclerbirligi	10	2	1	7	-16	7
21	Ankaragücü	10	1	2	7	-10	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.