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NM-cupen
Referee: Marius Lien
Aalesund
S U S U S
1–0
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
7,0
Scored
3,0
6,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+6,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 25. · Bodo/Glimt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 3 3 0 0 +18 9
2 Sarpsborg 08 3 3 0 0 +11 9
3 Kristiansund 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Fredrikstad 3 3 0 0 +11 9
5 Viking 3 3 0 0 +10 9
6 Asane 3 3 0 0 +9 9
7 Lillestrom 3 3 0 0 +8 9
8 Stabaek 3 3 0 0 +8 9
9 KFUM Oslo 3 3 0 0 +8 9
10 Bryne 3 3 0 0 +6 9
11 Ham-Kam 3 3 0 0 +5 9
12 Kongsvinger 3 2 1 0 +17 7
13 Molde 3 2 1 0 +11 7
14 Egersund 3 2 1 0 +7 7
15 Sogndal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
16 Mjondalen 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 Ranheim 3 2 1 0 +3 7
18 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +12 6
19 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +11 6
20 Alta 3 2 0 1 +10 6
21 Tromso 3 2 0 1 +10 6
22 Brann 3 2 0 1 +7 6
23 Sandefjord 3 2 0 1 +5 6
24 Strommen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
25 Aalesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
26 Tromsdalen Uil 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Moss 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +2 6
29 Rana 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Os 3 2 0 1 +0 6
31 Pors Grenland 3 2 0 1 +0 6
32 Stromsgodset 2 1 1 0 +5 4
33 Træff 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Grorud 3 1 1 1 +1 4
35 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
36 Eidsvold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
37 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Raufoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Jerv 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Start 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Lysekloster 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Lørenskog 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Vidar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Torvastad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Skeid 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Nardo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Fram 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Sotra 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Kjelsås 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Elverum 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Flint 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Sortland 2 1 0 1 -4 3
60 Bærum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Nordstrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Asker 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Brattvåg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Arendal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Valerenga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ull/Kisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 hodd 2 0 1 1 -2 1
68 Ørn Horten 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 IF Ready 2 0 1 1 -3 1
70 Gamle Oslo 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Odd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Volda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Melbo IL 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Kvik Trondheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Våg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 NHHI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Sandnes ULF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Skedsmo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Konnerud 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Teie 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Eiger 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Varegg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Hana 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Elnesvågen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
122 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
123 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -8 0
124 Rindal 1 0 0 1 -10 0
125 Hamna 1 0 0 1 -10 0
126 Bjørnevatn 1 0 0 1 -11 0
127 Nord 1 0 0 1 -11 0
128 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Bodo/Glimt
M. Andresen 🟨
15′
P. Aukland 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Andresen
52′
P. Ngongo 🟨
90′
A. Kjelsen 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

26 Larsen Tor
45 Aukland Philip
8 Melland Henrik
5 Kjelsen Alexander
7 Nesso Kristoffer
4 Haram Simen
6 Hammer Hakon
34 Gulbrandsen Thomas
66 Seehusen Janus
Bench (9)
9 Ngongo Paul
2 Andresen Marius
15 Gregersen Jesper
29 Boe Jorgen
39 Lonebu Kristian
27 Reed Haagensen Marcus
37 Ronningen Jakob
3 Gudmundsson Olafur
1 Grytebust Sten

Bodo/Glimt

12 Haikin Nikita
5 Aleesami Haitam
6 Gundersen Jostein
14 Saltnes Ulrik
2 Nielsen Villads
7 Berg Patrick
26 Evjen Hakon
9 Hogh Kasper
27 Sorli Sondre
10 Jens Petter Hauge
20 Sjovold Fredrik
Bench (9)
95 Kjaer Jeppe
44 Brondbo Magnus
24 Bassi Daniel
77 Bro Hansen Mikkel
19 Fet Sondre
15 Bjorkan Fredrik
25 Maatta Isak
11 Blomberg Ole
8 Auklend Sondre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.