OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |
Kongsvinger
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 24 |
| 3 |
Egersund
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |
Moss
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 |
Bryne
|
13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 7 |
Stabaek
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |
Lyn
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 17 |
| 9 |
Levanger
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |
Ranheim
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |
Mjondalen
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |
Start
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 |
Sandnes ULF
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 |
Aalesund
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sjølstad
F. Eriksson
J. Flaten
E. Flataker
E. Baidoo
Coach: T. Flo
L. Haren
J. Grundt
N. Williams
Coach: J. Wennberg
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lyn
Sogndal
Sogndal
Egersund
Sogndal
Stabaek
Start
Sogndal
Sogndal
Raufoss
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.