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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Manschot

NAC Breda

U T T T S

2–1

Full-time

FC Eindhoven

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda FC Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

60%

Both score Ø 82%

83%

80%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

20 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 32. · FC Eindhoven 31. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Kozakken Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
50	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
51	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
52	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Kozakken Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.