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Coppa Italia
Referee: A Prontera
Inter
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Parma
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Torino 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Spezia 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Parma 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Monza 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Bologna 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Modena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
18 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
19 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.