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Coupe de France
Referee: E Wattellier
Nantes
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Nice
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
8,0
3,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 8
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 67. · Nice 72.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 4 4 0 0 +15 12
2 Amiens 4 4 0 0 +11 12
3 Troyes 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Reims 4 3 1 0 +9 10
5 Le Puy Foot 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Chantilly 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Orleans 4 3 0 1 +5 9
8 Montpellier 3 3 0 0 +5 9
9 Bayeux 3 3 0 0 +3 9
10 Nancy 3 2 1 0 +6 7
11 Sochaux 4 2 1 1 +5 7
12 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +5 7
13 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +4 7
14 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +3 7
15 Istres 4 2 1 1 +1 7
16 Montreuil 4 2 1 1 +0 7
17 St Etienne 3 2 0 1 +11 6
18 Lorient 2 2 0 0 +9 6
19 St Maur Lusitanos 3 2 0 1 +9 6
20 Strasbourg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
21 Olympique Marcquois 3 2 0 1 +5 6
22 Lens 2 2 0 0 +5 6
23 Pontivy GSI 3 2 0 1 +5 6
24 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 2 0 1 +4 6
25 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
26 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Monaco 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Canet Roussillon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Concarneau 3 2 0 1 +2 6
30 Dieppe 3 2 0 1 +1 6
31 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +1 6
32 Bourg-en-bresse 01 3 2 0 1 -3 6
33 Le Mans 3 1 2 0 +1 5
34 SA Mérignac 3 1 2 0 +1 5
35 Hauts Lyonnais 4 1 2 1 -1 5
36 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 +4 4
37 Chauvigny 3 1 1 1 +3 4
38 Aubervilliers 2 1 1 0 +3 4
39 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
40 Feurs 2 1 1 0 +2 4
41 Granville 2 1 1 0 +2 4
42 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 3 1 1 1 +2 4
43 Romorantin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
44 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +2 4
45 Périgny 3 1 1 1 +1 4
46 Poitiers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Raon l'Etape 3 1 1 1 +0 4
50 Vendée Fontenay 3 1 1 1 -1 4
51 Biesheim 3 1 1 1 -2 4
52 Les Sables-d'Olonne 3 1 1 1 -2 4
53 Freyming 3 1 1 1 -2 4
54 Croix Football IC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
55 Gosier 3 1 1 1 -6 4
56 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +6 3
57 Ancienne Château-Gontier 2 1 0 1 +5 3
58 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +4 3
59 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
60 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
61 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
62 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
63 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
64 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
65 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
66 MJEP Cormontreuil 2 1 0 1 +2 3
67 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 Chalon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
69 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Stade Plabennec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
71 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
72 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
73 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Mazeres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Bondues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
78 Union Saint-Jean 2 1 0 1 +0 3
79 Yvetot 2 1 0 1 +0 3
80 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 -1 3
81 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
82 Beaucouzé 2 1 0 1 -1 3
83 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
84 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
85 Abbeville 2 1 0 1 -4 3
86 Saint-Pauloise 2 1 0 1 -5 3
87 Avranches 4 0 3 1 -6 3
88 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Angers 2 0 2 0 +0 2
91 Rhone-Vallee 2 0 2 0 +0 2
92 Steenvoorde 2 0 2 0 +0 2
93 Saint-Malo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
94 Blois 3 0 2 1 -1 2
95 Stade Béthunois 3 0 2 1 -2 2
96 Saint-Cyr Collonges 3 0 2 1 -3 2
97 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
127 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
128 Le Geldar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Plouvorn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Selongey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Beauvais 2 0 1 1 -1 1
132 APM Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
133 UF Touraine 2 0 1 1 -2 1
134 Seyssinet-Pariset 2 0 1 1 -2 1
135 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
136 Espoir Ste Luce 2 0 1 1 -4 1
137 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
138 Ecotay Moingt 2 0 1 1 -10 1
139 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
192 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
195 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
196 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
197 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
198 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
199 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
200 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
201 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
202 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Nice
21′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
25′
S. Diop 0–1
J. Clauss
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 B. Nguene
↦ S. Diop
1–1 B. Guirassy
R. Cabella
52′
M. Abline 🔁
↦ B. Guirassy
57′
D. Machado 🔁
↦ T. Tati
57′
Y. El Arabi 🔁
↦ J. Kone
57′
Kelvin Amian 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 E. Pereira
↦ C. Vanhoutte
75′
🟨 Melvin Bard
79′
🔁 Kevin
↦ M. Sanson
79′
🔁 S. Abdul Samed
↦ T. Ndombele
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ D. Tabibou
81′
89′
🔁 T. Gouveia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 P. Carlgren G
2 K. Amian D
5 J. Mwanga D
4 T. Tati D
3 N. Cozza D
6 B. Deuff M
8 J. Lepenant M
7 D. Tabibou M
10 R. Cabella M
11 B. Guirassy M
9 J. Kone F
Bench (9)
16 A. Lopes
12 M. Abline
13 L. Leroux
14 D. Machado
15 U. Radakovic
17 I. Ganago
18 S. Doucoure
19 Y. El Arabi
22 M. Acapandie

Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic

Nice

4-3-3
1 M. Dupe G
2 J. Clauss D
5 J. Bah D
4 B. Mantsounga D
3 M. Bard D
8 M. Sanson M
6 C. Vanhoutte M
7 T. Ndombele M
11 T. Louchet F
9 E. Wahi F
10 S. Diop F
Bench (9)
16 B. Zelazowski
12 M. Brignone
13 K. Alabi
14 E. Pereira
15 T. Gouveia
18 B. Nguene
19 Kevin
17 S. Abdul Samed
20 K. Boudache

Coach: Claude Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.