Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Angers
Nantes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lens
|
15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +13 | +6.6 | 34 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +20 | +14.5 | 33 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +20 | +13.4 | 29 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +12 | +9.8 | 29 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +5 | +5.1 | 24 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +1 | -2.5 | 24 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +0 | +3.2 | 23 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +5 | +6.4 | 22 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | +1.3 | 20 |
| 10 |
Brest
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | +1.6 | 19 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | -13.4 | 19 |
| 12 |
Nice
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -8 | -10.9 | 17 |
| 13 |
Lorient
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -9 | +0.9 | 17 |
| 14 |
Paris FC
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -5 | -3.7 | 16 |
| 15 |
Le Havre
|
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 | -1.6 | 15 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | -4.8 | 12 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -11 | -13.6 | 11 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | -12.2 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Koffi
G
C. Arcus
D
O. Camara
D
J. Lefort
D
J. Ekomie
D
H. Belkebla
M
H. Abdelli
M
Y. Belkhdim
M
L. Mouton
M
A. Sbai
M
S. Cherif
F
Coach: Alexandre Dujeux
A. Lopes
G
C. Awaziem
D
T. Tati
D
K. Amian
D
J. Lepenant
M
J. Mwanga
M
Mostafa Mohamed
F
M. Abline
F
Coach: Ahmed Kantari
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nice
Angers
Angers
Lens
Toulouse
Angers
Angers
Auxerre
Lille
Angers
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.