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Ligue 1
Referee: Stephanie Frappart
Angers
T S S T S
4–1
Full-time
Nantes
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,39 xG 0,35
54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 11. · Nantes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lens 15 11 1 3 +13 +6.6 34
2 Paris SG 15 10 3 2 +20 +14.5 33
3 Marseille 15 9 2 4 +20 +13.4 29
4 Lille 15 9 2 4 +12 +9.8 29
5 Lyon 15 7 3 5 +5 +5.1 24
6 Rennes 15 6 6 3 +1 -2.5 24
7 Monaco 15 7 2 6 +0 +3.2 23
8 Strasbourg 15 7 1 7 +5 +6.4 22
9 Toulouse 15 5 5 5 +2 +1.3 20
10 Brest 15 5 4 6 -4 +1.6 19
11 Angers 15 5 4 6 -4 -13.4 19
12 Nice 15 5 2 8 -8 -10.9 17
13 Lorient 15 4 5 6 -9 +0.9 17
14 Paris FC 15 4 4 7 -5 -3.7 16
15 Le Havre 15 3 6 6 -8 -1.6 15
16 Auxerre 15 3 3 9 -10 -4.8 12
17 Nantes 15 2 5 8 -11 -13.6 11
18 Metz 15 3 2 10 -19 -12.2 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nantes
Yassin Belkhdim ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
15′
1–0 H. Abdelli
17′
24′
🟨 Matthis Abline
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Cherif
L. Mouton
60′
64′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ Y. Benhattab
64′
🔁 Y. El Arabi
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
69′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
P. Peter 🔁
↦ S. Cherif
73′
Himad Abdelli 🟨
79′
81′
F. Centonze 2–1
M. Lahdo
L. Raolisoa 🔁
↦ Y. Belkhdim
82′
M. Courcoul 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
82′
H. Djibirin 🔁
↦ A. Sbai
82′
82′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ D. Machado
82′
🔁 B. Deuff
↦ J. Lepenant
3–1 H. Djibirin
85′
Djibirin Harouna ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
87′
4–1 L. Raolisoa
90′
F. Hanin 🔁
↦ H. Abdelli
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
93 H. Belkebla M
10 H. Abdelli M
14 Y. Belkhdim M
6 L. Mouton M
7 A. Sbai M
11 S. Cherif F
Bench (9)
16 M. Zinga
26 F. Hanin
25 A. Bamba
27 L. Raolisoa
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
31 H. Djibirin
35 P. Peter
18 J. Allevinah

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Nantes

4-4-2
1 A. Lopes G
18 F. Centonze D
6 C. Awaziem D
78 T. Tati D
98 K. Amian D
90 Y. Benhattab M
8 J. Lepenant M
80 J. Mwanga M
27 D. Machado M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
10 M. Abline F
Bench (9)
30 P. Carlgren
3 N. Cozza
13 F. Coquelin
14 A. Camara
5 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
26 U. Radakovic
52 B. Deuff
15 M. Lahdo
19 Y. El Arabi

Coach: Ahmed Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,16
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.