Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sassuolo
Genoa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +8 | +3.8 | 22 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +12 | +10.8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +8 | +5.0 | 21 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +5 | +1.5 | 21 |
| 5 |
Bologna
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | +2.6 | 18 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | +5.4 | 18 |
| 7 |
Como
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | +2.4 | 17 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -1.8 | 15 |
| 9 |
Cremonese
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +0 | -6.4 | 14 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +5 | +5.5 | 13 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +0 | -3.8 | 13 |
| 12 |
Torino
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -6 | -3.6 | 13 |
| 13 |
Lazio
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | -2.4 | 12 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -7.1 | 9 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | -4.6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | -3.7 | 7 |
| 17 |
Pisa
|
10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7 | -4.1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -10 | +0.2 | 5 |
| 19 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -9 | -1.3 | 4 |
| 20 |
Genoa
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9 | +1.4 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Muric
G
J. Idzes
D
T. Muharemovic
D
J. Doig
D
N. Matic
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
D. Berardi
F
A. Pinamonti
F
A. Lauriente
F
Coach: Fabio Grosso
N. Leali
G
A. Marcandalli
D
L. Ostigard
D
J. Vasquez
D
B. Norton-Cuffy
M
R. Malinovskyi
M
M. Frendrup
M
M. Thorsby
M
A. Martin
M
Vitinha
F
L. Colombo
F
Coach: Patrick Donalé Vieira
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Roma
Lecce
Sassuolo
Verona
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Udinese
Ermanno Feliciani · 12 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.