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Serie A
Referee: Ermanno Feliciani
Sassuolo
S S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Genoa
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
44%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,15 xG 1,76
61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 11. · Genoa 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 10 7 1 2 +8 +3.8 22
2 Inter 10 7 0 3 +12 +10.8 21
3 Milan 10 6 3 1 +8 +5.0 21
4 Roma 10 7 0 3 +5 +1.5 21
5 Bologna 10 5 3 2 +8 +2.6 18
6 Juventus 10 5 3 2 +4 +5.4 18
7 Como 10 4 5 1 +6 +2.4 17
8 Udinese 10 4 3 3 -3 -1.8 15
9 Cremonese 10 3 5 2 +0 -6.4 14
10 Atalanta 10 2 7 1 +5 +5.5 13
11 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 +0 -3.8 13
12 Torino 10 3 4 3 -6 -3.6 13
13 Lazio 9 3 3 3 +4 -2.4 12
14 Cagliari 9 2 3 4 -3 -7.1 9
15 Lecce 10 2 3 5 -6 -4.6 9
16 Parma 10 1 4 5 -7 -3.7 7
17 Pisa 10 0 6 4 -7 -4.1 6
18 Verona 10 0 5 5 -10 +0.2 5
19 Fiorentina 10 0 4 6 -9 -1.3 4
20 Genoa 9 0 3 6 -9 +1.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Genoa
3′
🟨 Ruslan Malinovskyi
18′
R. Malinovskyi 0–1
36′
🟨 Alessandro Marcandalli
Half-time 1–1
1–1 D. Berardi
47′
59′
🔁 P. Masini
↦ R. Malinovskyi
59′
🔁 Junior Messias
↦ Vitinha
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ I. Kone
64′
A. Fadera 🔁
↦ A. Lauriente
64′
68′
🔁 M. E. Ellertsson
↦ A. Marcandalli
68′
🔁 C. Ekuban
↦ L. Colombo
73′
🟨 Patrizio Masini
W. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ J. Doig
78′
W. Cheddira 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
78′
85′
🔁 A. Gronbaek
↦ M. Thorsby
L. Moro 🔁
↦ A. Pinamonti
86′
90′
L. Ostigard 1–2
A. Martin
Tarik Muharemović 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
49 A. Muric G
6 S. Walukiewicz D
21 J. Idzes D
80 T. Muharemovic D
3 J. Doig D
90 I. Kone M
18 N. Matic M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
10 D. Berardi F
99 A. Pinamonti F
45 A. Lauriente F
Bench (12)
13 S. Turati
16 G. Zacchi
5 F. Cande
25 W. Coulibaly
26 C. Odenthal
35 L. Lipani
40 A. Vranckx
44 E. Iannoni
9 W. Cheddira
20 A. Fadera
24 L. Moro
77 N. Pierini

Coach: Fabio Grosso

Genoa

3-5-2
1 N. Leali G
27 A. Marcandalli D
5 L. Ostigard D
22 J. Vasquez D
15 B. Norton-Cuffy M
17 R. Malinovskyi M
32 M. Frendrup M
2 M. Thorsby M
3 A. Martin M
9 Vitinha F
29 L. Colombo F
Bench (15)
31 B. Siegrist
20 S. Sabelli
8 N. Stanciu
11 A. Gronbaek
73 P. Masini
77 M. E. Ellertsson
10 Junior Messias
14 J. Onana
18 C. Ekuban
21 J. Ekhator
23 V. Carboni
30 H. F. Cuenca Martinez
40 S. Fini
70 M. Cornet
76 L. Venturino

Coach: Patrick Donalé Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,02
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ermanno Feliciani · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.