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FA Cup

Horsham YMCA

T T

5–1

Full-time

Newhaven

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsham YMCA Newhaven

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

5,2

Scored

0,5

3,7

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Binfield	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Heaton Stannington	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Great Yarmouth Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	AFC Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Trafford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sheringham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Royal Wootton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Burgess Hill Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Whickham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Stansted	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Biggleswade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Abbey Hey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Albion Sports	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Woodbridge Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Mangotsfield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spelthorne Sports	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Carlisle City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Wokingham Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Easington Colliery	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Kirkley & Pakefield	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Binfield	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Heaton Stannington	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Great Yarmouth Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	AFC Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sheringham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Royal Wootton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Whickham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stansted	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Albion Sports	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Spelthorne Sports	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trafford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Burgess Hill Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Biggleswade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Abbey Hey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Woodbridge Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Mangotsfield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Carlisle City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Wokingham Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Easington Colliery	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Kirkley & Pakefield	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.