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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Brondby

S T U T S

1–3

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 44%

41%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

44%

72%

Both score Ø 52%

38%

66%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,98 xG 1,92

31% Possession 69%

10 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 9

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 5. · FC Copenhagen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	32	19	10	3	+30	+22.2	67
2	Midtjylland	32	16	12	4	+36	+6.2	60
3	FC Copenhagen	32	15	6	11	+23	+26.1	51
4	Nordsjaelland	32	15	5	12	+5	+0.3	50
5	Brondby	32	13	6	13	+9	+10.9	45
6	Viborg	32	13	5	14	-2	-3.1	44
7	Sonderjyske	32	12	8	12	-5	-6.7	44
8	Odense	32	11	8	13	-9	+4.8	41
9	Silkeborg	32	10	6	16	-26	-24.7	36
10	Randers FC	32	9	8	15	-14	+6.6	35
11	Fredericia	32	9	7	16	-23	-24.2	34
12	Vejle	32	5	9	18	-24	-18.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	10	4	2	+17	+18.3	34
2	Midtjylland	16	8	6	2	+19	+6.8	30
3	Nordsjaelland	16	9	3	4	+12	+11.3	30
4	Sonderjyske	16	8	3	5	+5	+0.9	27
5	FC Copenhagen	16	7	4	5	+14	+21.4	25
6	Odense	16	7	3	6	-2	+9.2	24
7	Viborg	16	7	2	7	+2	-4.7	23
8	Brondby	16	6	4	6	+7	+6.7	22
9	Randers FC	16	5	4	7	-6	+3.4	19
10	Silkeborg	16	5	4	7	-8	-5.5	19
11	Vejle	16	4	4	8	-4	-3.1	16
12	Fredericia	16	4	4	8	-13	-5.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	9	6	1	+13	+3.8	33
2	Midtjylland	16	8	6	2	+17	-0.5	30
3	FC Copenhagen	16	8	2	6	+9	+4.7	26
4	Brondby	16	7	2	7	+2	+4.1	23
5	Viborg	16	6	3	7	-4	+1.6	21
6	Nordsjaelland	16	6	2	8	-7	-11.0	20
7	Fredericia	16	5	3	8	-10	-18.7	18
8	Odense	16	4	5	7	-7	-4.4	17
9	Sonderjyske	16	4	5	7	-10	-7.6	17
10	Silkeborg	16	5	2	9	-18	-19.2	17
11	Randers FC	16	4	4	8	-8	+3.1	16
12	Vejle	16	1	5	10	-20	-15.1	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.