Allsvenskan
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elfsborg
Mjallby
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sirius
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | +7.7 | 22 |
| 2 |
Hammarby
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +13 | +6.9 | 17 |
| 3 |
Hacken
|
8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +5 | +3.3 | 16 |
| 4 |
Elfsborg
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | +1.8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Djurgarden
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | +3.3 | 13 |
| 6 |
Mjallby
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | -1.9 | 13 |
| 7 |
GAIS
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | +1.1 | 12 |
| 8 |
Brommapojkarna
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Malmo FF
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -2.2 | 10 |
| 10 |
AIK
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -3.7 | 9 |
| 11 |
Degerfors
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -2.1 | 9 |
| 12 |
Vasteras SK
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -5.2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Kalmar
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | +2.6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Goteborg
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10 | -1.0 | 6 |
| 15 |
Orgryte
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -13 | -5.9 | 5 |
| 16 |
Halmstad
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | -3.4 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Halmstad
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Brommapojkarna
Elfsborg
AIK
Kalmar
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
Djurgarden
Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.