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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adi Aganovic
Elfsborg
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
63%
25%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Mjallby 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 8 7 1 0 +13 +7.7 22
2 Hammarby 9 5 2 2 +13 +6.9 17
3 Hacken 8 4 4 0 +5 +3.3 16
4 Elfsborg 8 4 3 1 +5 +1.8 15
5 Djurgarden 8 4 1 3 +7 +3.3 13
6 Mjallby 8 4 1 3 +3 -1.9 13
7 GAIS 9 3 3 3 +3 +1.1 12
8 Brommapojkarna 8 3 2 3 -2 -1.1 11
9 Malmo FF 8 3 1 4 -2 -2.2 10
10 AIK 8 2 3 3 -2 -3.7 9
11 Degerfors 8 2 3 3 -3 -2.1 9
12 Vasteras SK 8 2 3 3 -5 -5.2 9
13 Kalmar 8 2 1 5 -2 +2.6 7
14 Goteborg 8 1 3 4 -10 -1.0 6
15 Orgryte 8 1 2 5 -13 -5.9 5
16 Halmstad 8 0 3 5 -10 -3.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.