The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pisa
Virtus Entella
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palermo
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.0 | 9 |
| 2 |
Mantova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +1.1 | 7 |
| 3 |
Sudtirol
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -1.3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Ascoli
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | -1.9 | 7 |
| 5 |
Modena
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.7 | 6 |
| 6 |
Pisa
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +1.3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Avellino
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 8 |
Empoli
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 9 |
Arezzo
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Cesena
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | +0.3 | 5 |
| 11 |
Verona
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4 | +2.5 | 4 |
| 12 |
Padova
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Vicenza
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -0.2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Cremonese
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 15 |
Juve Stabia
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.7 | 3 |
| 16 |
Virtus Entella
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 17 |
Benevento
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Carrarese
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +0.0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Catanzaro
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -1.0 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Confente
G
A. Calabresi
D
F. Coppola
D
S. Canestrelli
D
G. Leone
M
İ. Vural
M
O. Correia
M
S. Angori
M
M. Léris
M
M. Tramoni
M
A. Petagna
F
Coach: P. Bianco
F. Del Frate
G
L. Parodi
D
M. Alborghetti
D
I. Marconi
D
L. Vignali
M
A. Franzoni
M
N. Squizzato
M
L. Benedetti
M
L. Cuppone
F
Bernat Guiu
F
Coach: A. Chiappella
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juve Stabia
Pisa
Pisa
Catanzaro
Pisa
Padova
Pisa
Empoli
Lazio
Pisa
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.