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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Juve Stabia
U U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Spezia
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 26%
29%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
45%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,34 xG 1,06
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 7. · Spezia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Venezia 31 20 7 4 +37 +30.5 67
2 Monza 31 19 7 5 +24 +13.0 64
3 Frosinone 31 17 11 3 +28 +9.1 62
4 Palermo 31 16 10 5 +24 +10.6 58
5 Catanzaro 30 14 10 6 +13 +1.9 52
6 Modena 30 13 8 9 +16 +9.6 47
7 Juve Stabia 31 9 15 7 -2 -0.4 42
8 Cesena 31 11 7 13 -8 +3.5 40
9 Avellino 31 10 9 12 -13 -14.9 39
10 Sudtirol 31 8 14 9 +1 -4.7 38
11 Carrarese 31 8 12 11 -4 -7.1 36
12 Padova 31 8 10 13 -10 -10.0 34
13 Mantova 31 9 7 15 -11 +0.3 34
14 Empoli 31 7 12 12 -6 +1.1 33
15 Sampdoria 31 7 10 14 -13 -3.1 31
16 Bari 31 7 10 14 -17 -18.6 31
17 Virtus Entella 31 7 10 14 -17 -10.2 31
18 Spezia 31 7 9 15 -13 -1.6 30
19 Reggiana 31 7 9 15 -16 -7.2 30
20 Pescara 31 6 11 14 -13 -1.9 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,04
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.