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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Jakubik

Gornik Zabrze

T U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Warta Poznan

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

47%

30%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

37%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 9. · Warta Poznan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	30	22	5	3	+41	71
2	Legia	30	17	9	4	+16	60
3	Pogon Szczecin	30	14	9	7	+6	51
4	Lech Poznan	30	13	10	7	+12	49
5	Warta Poznan	30	12	8	10	+6	44
6	Piast Gliwice	30	12	7	11	+4	43
7	Cracovia	30	11	9	10	+7	42
8	Jagiellonia	31	9	13	9	+5	40
9	Gornik Zabrze	30	10	8	12	-2	38
10	Stal Mielec	30	10	8	12	-3	38
11	Widzew Lodz	30	10	8	12	-4	38
12	Radomiak Radom	30	10	8	12	-5	38
13	Wisla Plock	30	10	6	14	-3	36
14	Korona Kielce	30	9	8	13	-9	35
15	Zaglebie	30	9	8	13	-14	35
16	Slask Wroclaw	31	7	11	13	-15	32
17	Lechia Gdansk	30	7	5	18	-24	26
18	Legnica	30	4	10	16	-18	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	15	10	5	0	+15	35
3	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+8	27
4	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cracovia	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Korona Kielce	15	7	3	5	+2	24
8	Lech Poznan	15	7	2	6	+5	23
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	6	4	+3	21
11	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	+1	19
12	Widzew Lodz	15	5	3	7	-2	18
13	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	5	6	-3	17
15	Radomiak Radom	15	4	4	7	-4	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	4	7	-6	16
17	Legnica	15	3	6	6	-6	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	8	4	3	+8	28
2	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
4	Legia	15	7	4	4	+1	25
5	Piast Gliwice	15	7	3	5	+3	24
6	Warta Poznan	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+1	21
9	Zaglebie	14	6	3	5	-5	21
10	Widzew Lodz	15	5	5	5	-2	20
11	Stal Mielec	15	5	2	8	-6	17
12	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
15	Korona Kielce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Wisla Plock	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Legnica	15	1	4	10	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.