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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Alaves
S U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Granada
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
34%
29%
Both score Ø 33%
39%
26%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alaves 4. · Granada 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 18 13 7 +10 67
2 Granada 38 19 8 11 +19 65
3 Levante 38 16 17 5 +15 65
4 Alaves 38 18 11 9 +13 65
5 Las Palmas 38 16 16 6 +16 64
6 Albacete 38 15 14 9 +5 59
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Burgos 38 13 14 11 +3 53
9 Oviedo 38 14 10 14 -2 52
10 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
11 Mirandes 38 13 12 13 -1 51
12 Tenerife 38 12 14 12 +4 50
13 Zaragoza 38 11 16 11 +1 49
14 Huesca 38 10 18 10 +1 48
15 Sp Gijon 38 11 15 12 +0 48
16 Santander 38 12 11 15 -3 47
17 Villarreal B 38 12 10 16 -6 46
18 Leganes 38 12 10 16 -7 46
19 Malaga 38 9 13 16 -6 40
20 Ponferradina 38 7 15 16 -18 36
21 Ibiza 38 6 11 21 -29 29
22 Lugo 38 5 12 21 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,06
B
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.