Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Podbeskidzie
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 36 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 35 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +9 | 31 |
| 4 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +2 | 26 |
| 6 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |
Jagiellonia
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 |
Zaglebie
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |
Cracovia
|
18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 |
Warta Poznan
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 |
Lech Poznan
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 22 |
| 12 |
Wisla Plock
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 22 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +2 | 21 |
| 14 |
Piast Gliwice
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 15 |
Podbeskidzie
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -12 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Zaglebie
Rakow
Rakow
Lechia Gdansk
Legia
Rakow
Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
Rakow
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.