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Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

S T S T U

4–3

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

35%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 8. · Arka Gdynia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	27	17	3	7	+29	54
2	Piast Gliwice	27	14	4	9	+7	46
3	Slask Wroclaw	27	11	10	6	+5	43
4	Lech Poznan	27	11	9	7	+19	42
5	Cracovia	27	13	3	11	+9	42
6	Pogon Szczecin	27	11	8	8	+1	41
7	Jagiellonia	27	11	7	9	+1	40
8	Lechia Gdansk	26	10	8	8	-1	38
9	Rakow	27	11	4	12	-5	37
10	Zaglebie	27	10	6	11	+4	36
11	Gornik Zabrze	27	9	9	9	-1	36
12	Wisla Plock	27	10	6	11	-12	36
13	Wisla	27	9	4	14	-9	31
14	Korona Kielce	27	8	5	14	-12	29
15	Arka Gdynia	26	6	7	13	-15	25
16	LKS Lodz	27	5	5	17	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	14	10	2	2	+12	32
2	Legia	14	10	1	3	+25	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Cracovia	14	9	1	4	+11	28
5	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	6	1	+5	27
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	3	4	+16	24
7	Jagiellonia	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Rakow	13	7	2	4	+4	23
9	Zaglebie	13	6	4	3	+9	22
10	Wisla Plock	14	6	3	5	+0	21
11	Wisla	13	6	2	5	+8	20
12	Lechia Gdansk	13	5	4	4	+1	19
13	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	3	5	+0	18
14	Korona Kielce	13	5	2	6	+0	17
15	LKS Lodz	14	4	3	7	-3	15
16	Arka Gdynia	13	3	6	4	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	13	7	2	4	+4	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
3	Lechia Gdansk	13	5	4	4	-2	19
4	Lech Poznan	13	4	6	3	+3	18
5	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	4	5	+0	16
6	Jagiellonia	14	4	4	6	-8	16
7	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-12	15
8	Cracovia	13	4	2	7	-2	14
9	Zaglebie	14	4	2	8	-5	14
10	Piast Gliwice	13	4	2	7	-5	14
11	Rakow	14	4	2	8	-9	14
12	Korona Kielce	14	3	3	8	-12	12
13	Wisla	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Arka Gdynia	13	3	1	9	-12	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	14	1	5	8	-14	8
16	LKS Lodz	13	1	2	10	-17	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.