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Conference League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Pafos
T S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,85 xG 1,16
66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Djurgarden
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 H. Finndell
↦ N. Žugelj
Z. Šarlija 🔁
↦ David Goldar
63′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Jairo
64′
João Correia 🔁
↦ K. Sema
64′
1–0 M. Tanković ⚽
V. Dragomir
65′
73′
🔁 D. Stensson
↦ R. Schüller
73′
🔁 S. Haarala
↦ P. Åslund
74′
🔁 M. Danielson
↦ M. Tenho
M. Oršić 🔁
↦ M. Tanković
80′
83′
🔁 A. Priske
↦ O. Fallenius
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
84′
K. Pileas 🔁
↦ J. Silva
86′
Kostas Pileas 🟨
92′
98′
🟨 Marcus Danielson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pafos

4-4-1-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
12 K. Sema M
26 I. Šunjić M
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 M. Tanković M
30 V. Dragomir F
10 Jairo F
Bench (10)
21 Z. Šarlija
33 Anderson Silva
77 João Correia
17 M. Oršić
2 K. Pileas
8 Domingos Quina
93 N. Michael
11 Jajá
70 M. Ilia
83 P. Theodoulou

Coach: Carcedo

Djurgarden

4-3-3
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist G
18 A. Ståhl D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une Larsson D
27 K. Kosugi D
22 P. Åslund M
6 R. Schüller M
16 T. Gulliksen M
23 N. Žugelj F
20 T. Nguen F
15 O. Fallenius F
Bench (11)
14 H. Finndell
13 D. Stensson
29 S. Haarala
3 M. Danielson
26 A. Priske
32 I. Alemayehu
25 K. Jawla
40 M. Croon
35 J. Rinne
19 V. Bergh
36 A. Atlee Manneh

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.