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Svenska Cupen

Referee: V Wolf

Hammarby

S U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Kalmar

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 16. · Kalmar 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+16	12
2	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Norrkoping	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Goteborg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
5	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+8	10
6	Trelleborg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Vasteras SK	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Hacken	4	3	0	1	+5	9
9	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
10	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Stockholm Internazionale	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Oster	4	3	0	1	+3	9
13	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+2	9
14	AIK	4	2	2	0	+8	8
15	Brommapojkarna	4	2	2	0	+8	8
16	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+8	7
17	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+6	7
18	Degerfors	4	2	1	1	+3	7
19	Karlberg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
20	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
21	Orgryte	4	2	0	2	-2	6
22	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
23	Sandviken	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	Utsikten	4	2	0	2	-4	6
25	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
26	Oddevold	4	1	1	2	-1	4
27	IK brage	4	1	1	2	-2	4
28	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Skövde AIK	4	1	0	3	-2	3
49	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
53	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	-3	3
54	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Orebro SK	4	1	0	3	-4	3
56	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Gefle IF	4	1	0	3	-10	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Stockholm Internazionale	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Oster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
27	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
30	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
32	Oddevold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Trelleborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Skövde AIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	IK brage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
52	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Trelleborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
15	Karlberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	IK brage	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+0	3
41	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Vasteras SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	-1	3
45	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
47	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
48	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
49	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
50	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
51	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-5	3
52	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.