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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Hammarby
S U U T U
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Brommapojkarna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 40%
25%
55%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
28 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 10. · Brommapojkarna 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 11 9 1 1 +19 28
2 Elfsborg 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Hacken 12 8 1 3 +18 25
4 Djurgarden 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Brommapojkarna 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 Kalmar 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Norrkoping 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Halmstad 11 5 1 5 -5 16
9 Mjallby 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Hammarby 12 3 4 5 -5 13
11 Varnamo 11 4 0 7 -4 12
12 Sirius 11 2 5 4 -5 11
13 Degerfors 12 3 2 7 -19 11
14 Goteborg 11 1 4 6 -3 7
15 AIK 11 1 4 6 -7 7
16 Varberg 11 0 5 6 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Brommapojkarna
1–0 N. Besara
L. Sadiku
15′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Leach Holm
↦ M. Ćosić
Markus Karlsson 🟨
53′
N. Adjei 🔁
↦ M. Karlsson
62′
A. Saidi 🔁
↦ A. Nalić
63′
66′
🔁 M. Jelassi
↦ K. Ackermann
73′
L. Fritzson 1–1
N. Vasić
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ A. Mikkelsen
77′
V. Đukanović 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
77′
83′
🔁 G. Sandberg Magnusson
↦ N. Vasić
J. Nilsson 🔁
↦ S. Strand
85′
2–1 J. Erabi
N. Besara
94′
Jusef Erabi 🟨
95′
95′
🔁 S. Kroon
↦ O. Pettersson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 O. Dovin G
36 M. Karlsson D
4 E. Kurtulus D
30 S. Pinas D
21 S. Strand D
5 T. Tekie M
18 L. Sadiku M
38 M. Madjed M
20 N. Besara M
17 A. Mikkelsen M
9 A. Nalić F
Bench (9)
32 N. Adjei
40 A. Saidi
19 J. Erabi
7 V. Đukanović
22 J. Nilsson
25 D. Blažević
33 F. Hammar
34 A. Demirol
15 P. Vagić

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Brommapojkarna

3-4-3
20 F. Sidklev G
26 A. Calisir D
4 A. Sögaard D
2 T. Heggem D
17 A. Jensen M
24 K. Ackermann M
13 L. Fritzson M
23 T. Waker M
7 O. Pettersson F
9 N. Vasić F
10 M. Ćosić F
Bench (9)
15 S. Leach Holm
11 M. Jelassi
6 G. Sandberg Magnusson
21 S. Kroon
1 O. Linnér
8 L. Jordan
19 R. Omorowa
14 F. Nissen
5 V. Agardius

Coach: A. Engelmark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.