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Allsvenskan

Sirius

T U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Sundsvall

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Sundsvall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 69%

50%

88%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 14. · Sundsvall 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Hammarby	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Goteborg	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	AIK	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Ostersunds	9	3	4	2	-1	13
7	Djurgarden	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Kalmar	8	2	5	1	+0	11
10	Sundsvall	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Norrkoping	8	1	5	2	-2	8
12	Helsingborg	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Orebro	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Sirius	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	AFC Eskilstuna	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Falkenbergs	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Hacken	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Elfsborg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Ostersunds	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Helsingborg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Sundsvall	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Kalmar	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	AFC Eskilstuna	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Norrkoping	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Falkenbergs	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Sirius	4	1	0	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
3	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+0	7
4	Hacken	4	1	2	1	+2	5
5	Kalmar	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Ostersunds	5	1	2	2	-5	5
7	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	AIK	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Elfsborg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Norrkoping	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Sundsvall	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Falkenbergs	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	AFC Eskilstuna	4	0	0	4	-7	0
16	Helsingborg	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.