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Europa League
Referee: S Schärer
Man United
S T U U T
5–4
Full-time
Lyon
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 73%
82%
64%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,1
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,25 xG 2,58
41% Possession 59%
21 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -25 Lyon – Man United 2–2

Match report

Man United Lyon
1–0 M. Ugarte
A. Garnacho
10′
18′
🟨 Jordan Veretout
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Corentin Tolisso
2–0 Diogo Dalot
H. Maguire
46′
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ N. Mazraoui
46′
Alejandro Garnacho 🟨
50′
55′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ P. Akouokou
55′
🔁 A. Lacazette
↦ J. Veretout
63′
🟨 Nicolás Tagliafico
64′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ G. Mikautadze
71′
C. Tolisso 2–1
A. Lacazette
77′
N. Tagliafico 2–2
A. Maitland-Niles
K. Mainoo 🔁
↦ R. Højlund
87′
M. Mount 🔁
↦ M. Ugarte
87′
89′
🟨 Corentin Tolisso
89′
🟥 Corentin Tolisso
Harry Maguire 🟨
93′
H. Amass 🔁
↦ P. Dorgu
100′
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ A. Garnacho
100′
104′
R. Cherki 2–3
107′
🔁 Abner
↦ R. Cherki
Leny Yoro 🟨
108′
109′
A. Lacazette 2–4
Casemiro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
112′
3–4 Bruno Fernandes
114′
115′
🔁 D. Ćaleta-Car
↦ N. Tagliafico
4–4 K. Mainoo
Casemiro
120′
121′
🟨 Abner Vinícius
5–4 H. Maguire
Casemiro
121′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Man United

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
5 H. Maguire D
15 L. Yoro D
20 Diogo Dalot M
18 Casemiro M
25 M. Ugarte M
13 P. Dorgu M
8 Bruno Fernandes F
17 A. Garnacho F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (11)
23 L. Shaw
37 K. Mainoo
7 M. Mount
41 H. Amass
14 C. Eriksen
64 J. Moorhouse
80 J. Kamason
2 V. Lindelöf
1 A. Bayındır
87 G. Kukonki
22 T. Heaton

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Lyon

4-3-1-2
23 Lucas Perri G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhaté D
3 N. Tagliafico D
7 J. Veretout M
8 C. Tolisso M
4 P. Akouokou M
32 T. Almada M
18 R. Cherki F
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (10)
15 T. Tessmann
10 A. Lacazette
11 M. Fofana
16 Abner
55 D. Ćaleta-Car
27 W. Omari
50 L. Diarra
31 N. Matić
20 S. Kumbedi
40 R. Descamps

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.