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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Rodez
U T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 17. · Guingamp 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Lorient 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Ajaccio 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Red Star 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Metz 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Pau FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Clermont 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Martigues 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Dunkerque 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Laval 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Caen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rodez 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Guingamp
Aurelien Pelon 🟨
21′
38′
J. Siwe 0–1
A. Sissoko
Half-time 0–1
Stone Muzalimoja Mambo 🟨
50′
1–1 T. Bentayeb
N. Galves
61′
D. Jean 🔁
↦ T. Bentayeb
67′
67′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ J. Siwe
68′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ A. Sagna
71′
A. Hemia 1–2
M. Riou
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ N. Galves
77′
M. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ D. Mazou-Sacko
77′
É. Vandenabeele 🔁
↦ A. Pelon
84′
J. Chougrani 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
84′
84′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ H. Picard
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Quenabio D
4 S. Mambo D
17 A. Pelon D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
19 D. Mazou-Sacko M
22 T. Bentayeb F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
20 D. Jean
26 Y. Verdier
11 M. Bouchouari
2 É. Vandenabeele
21 J. Chougrani
1 S. Cibois
7 M. Achi

Coach: D. Santini

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
26 M. Riou D
2 L. Maronnier D
11 A. Sagna M
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 H. Picard M
13 A. Hemia F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
9 B. Labeau
21 R. Ghrieb
29 J. Mendes
30 B. Niasse
23 T. Luvambo
6 L. Vallier
18 S. Nair

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,16
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.