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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Viborg
T S U T T
2–3
Full-time
Aalborg
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 10. · Aalborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 4 3 1 0 +5 +3.5 10
2 Silkeborg 4 3 0 1 +3 +2.1 9
3 Midtjylland 4 2 2 0 +4 +2.4 8
4 Nordsjaelland 4 2 2 0 +4 +3.9 8
5 Aarhus 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.3 7
6 Brondby 4 2 1 1 +2 +3.1 7
7 Randers FC 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.3 7
8 Aalborg 3 1 0 2 -4 -2.2 3
9 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.3 2
10 Viborg 3 0 1 2 -3 -1.8 1
11 Sonderjyske 4 0 1 3 -7 -5.5 1
12 Vejle 4 0 0 4 -5 -4.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Aalborg
1–0 I. Jensen
Serginho
14′
17′
🟨 Mylian Jimenez
35′
O. Ross 1–1
M. Jørgensen
39′
A. Jasson 1–2
N. Arnórsson
Jeppe Grønning 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–2
J. Mbom 🔁
↦ J. Grønning
46′
46′
🔁 M. Widell
↦ M. Jiménez
Magnus Westergaard 🟨
47′
2–2 J. Vester
M. Westergaard
53′
S. Berger 🔁
↦ M. Westergaard
53′
56′
M. Jørgensen 2–3
S. Otoa
59′
🔁 K. John
↦ J. Iredale
59′
🔁 M. Nielsen
↦ N. Arnórsson
67′
🔁 M. Bomholt
↦ K. Davidsen
I. Said 🔁
↦ J. Vester
73′
77′
🟨 Marc Nielsen
79′
🔁 N. Helenius
↦ O. Ross
Renato Júnior 🔁
↦ Serginho
86′
98′
🟨 Andres Jasson
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
24 D. Anyembe D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
4 N. Bürgy D
30 S. Kuzmić D
28 M. Westergaard M
13 J. Grønning M
37 J. Vester M
7 Serginho F
14 A. Ementa F
15 I. Jensen F
Bench (9)
18 J. Mbom
21 S. Berger
8 I. Said
11 Renato Júnior
55 S. Radić
32 L. Kirkegaard
16 O. Hedvall
10 J. Jacobs
31 C. Christensen

Coach: J. Poulsen

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
1 V. Müller G
3 S. Otoa D
2 O. Diakhité D
4 L. Kramer D
24 N. Arnórsson D
16 K. Davidsen M
6 M. Jiménez M
11 M. Jørgensen M
17 A. Jasson M
10 O. Ross M
19 J. Iredale F
Bench (9)
8 M. Widell
27 K. John
5 M. Nielsen
21 M. Bomholt
9 N. Helenius
35 E. Amankwah
50 B. Pedersen
37 A. Diagne
22 R. de Boer

Coach: M. van Dam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.