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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Clermont
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
6 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
8 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 11. · Dunkerque 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Lorient 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Ajaccio 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Red Star 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Metz 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Pau FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Annecy 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Clermont 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Martigues 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Dunkerque 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Laval 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Caen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rodez 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Troyes 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Dunkerque
Baïla Diallo 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 K. Tejan
↦ Y. Bammou
61′
🔁 U. Raghouber
↦ Diogo Queirós
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ M. Douane
63′
O. Diop 🔁
↦ A. Maurer
63′
66′
🟨 Alec Georgen
Y. Magnin 🔁
↦ H. Keïta
74′
Y. Diaby 🔁
↦ M. Baaloudj
75′
Y. Armougom 🔁
↦ B. Diallo
75′
76′
🟨 Ugo Raghouber
78′
🔁 N. Nsingi
↦ M. Rivera
78′
🔁 Opa Sanganté
↦ N. Fernandez-Veliz
Yoël Armougom 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 N. Skyttä
↦ Y. Sekongo
84′
E. Bardeli 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-4-2
1 M. N'Diaye G
15 C. Konaté D
12 D. Da Silva D
97 J. Jacquet D
31 B. Diallo D
10 H. Saivet M
6 H. Keïta M
25 J. Gastien M
11 M. Douane M
77 M. Baaloudj F
92 A. Maurer F
Bench (7)
26 M. Bassouamina
17 O. Diop
7 Y. Magnin
70 Y. Diaby
22 Y. Armougom
30 T. Guivarch
44 A. Ackra

Coach: P. Gastien

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 E. Jaouen G
2 A. Georgen D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
5 Diogo Queirós M
80 G. Yassine M
20 E. Bardeli M
15 Y. Sekongo M
8 M. Rivera M
19 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
9 K. Tejan
28 U. Raghouber
29 N. Nsingi
26 Opa Sanganté
22 N. Skyttä
17 B. Youssouf
24 I. Koné

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U
3,28
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.