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LaLiga2

Referee: Andrés Fuentes

Malaga

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Burgos

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 33%

29%

37%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

37%

34%

Both score Ø 40%

41%

39%

Average goals

2,0

2,1

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 17. · Burgos 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	41	21	13	7	+26	76
2	Elche	41	21	11	9	+21	74
3	Mirandes	41	21	9	11	+17	72
4	Oviedo	41	20	12	9	+13	72
5	Santander	41	19	11	11	+13	68
6	Almeria	41	18	12	11	+15	66
7	Granada	41	18	11	12	+12	65
8	Huesca	41	17	10	14	+8	61
9	Eibar	41	15	13	13	+4	58
10	Albacete	41	15	12	14	+0	57
11	Sp Gijon	42	14	14	14	+3	56
12	Cadiz	41	14	13	14	+3	55
13	Cordoba	41	14	12	15	-4	54
14	Burgos	41	15	9	17	-7	54
15	La Coruna	41	13	14	14	+6	53
16	Castellon	42	14	11	17	+2	53
17	Malaga	41	12	16	13	-4	52
18	Zaragoza	42	13	12	17	-7	51
19	Eldense	41	11	12	18	-18	45
20	Tenerife	41	8	12	21	-18	36
21	Ferrol	42	6	12	24	-42	30
22	Cartagena	41	6	5	30	-43	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	21	15	5	1	+21	50
2	Elche	21	15	3	3	+22	48
3	Levante	20	12	7	1	+21	43
4	Almeria	20	12	7	1	+21	43
5	Oviedo	20	13	3	4	+13	42
6	Albacete	21	11	6	4	+10	39
7	Eibar	21	11	6	4	+8	39
8	Huesca	20	11	5	4	+13	38
9	Granada	21	10	7	4	+15	37
10	Santander	20	10	6	4	+15	36
11	Malaga	20	10	6	4	+6	36
12	Sp Gijon	21	10	5	6	+5	35
13	Cadiz	21	9	7	5	+8	34
14	Burgos	21	10	4	7	+3	34
15	Castellon	21	9	5	7	+8	32
16	Cordoba	20	8	7	5	+11	31
17	Tenerife	21	7	7	7	+2	28
18	Zaragoza	21	7	7	7	+1	28
19	La Coruna	20	6	8	6	+3	26
20	Eldense	21	6	7	8	-5	25
21	Ferrol	21	3	7	11	-17	16
22	Cartagena	20	4	3	13	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	21	9	6	6	+5	33
2	Santander	21	9	5	7	-2	32
3	Oviedo	21	7	9	5	+0	30
4	Granada	20	8	4	8	-3	28
5	La Coruna	21	7	6	8	+3	27
6	Elche	20	6	8	6	-1	26
7	Huesca	21	6	5	10	-5	23
8	Almeria	21	6	5	10	-6	23
9	Zaragoza	21	6	5	10	-8	23
10	Cordoba	21	6	5	10	-15	23
11	Mirandes	20	6	4	10	-4	22
12	Sp Gijon	21	4	9	8	-2	21
13	Cadiz	20	5	6	9	-5	21
14	Castellon	21	5	6	10	-6	21
15	Burgos	20	5	5	10	-10	20
16	Eldense	20	5	5	10	-13	20
17	Eibar	20	4	7	9	-4	19
18	Albacete	20	4	6	10	-10	18
19	Malaga	21	2	10	9	-10	16
20	Ferrol	21	3	5	13	-25	14
21	Tenerife	20	1	5	14	-20	8
22	Cartagena	21	2	2	17	-30	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.