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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Steinar Hauge

Lillestrom

S U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Egersund

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Egersund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 66%

75%

57%

Points per game

2,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

25%

57%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

0,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Egersund 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Sogndal	8	5	0	3	+4	15
3	Start	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	hodd	9	4	2	3	+0	14
5	Kongsvinger	8	4	1	3	+7	13
6	Aalesund	7	3	4	0	+5	13
7	Odd	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Egersund	7	4	1	2	+2	13
9	Raufoss	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Moss	8	4	0	4	-5	12
11	Stabaek	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Ranheim	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Asane	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Mjondalen	9	1	2	6	-14	5
15	Lyn	9	1	1	7	-6	4
16	Skeid	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moss	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Odd	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Raufoss	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Aalesund	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Sogndal	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Kongsvinger	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Start	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Egersund	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	hodd	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Asane	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Skeid	4	0	2	2	-5	2
15	Lyn	5	0	1	4	-5	1
16	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	3	2	0	+10	11
2	Start	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	hodd	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Egersund	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Kongsvinger	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Ranheim	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Sogndal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Asane	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Stabaek	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Mjondalen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Lyn	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Odd	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Raufoss	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Skeid	5	0	1	4	-4	1
16	Moss	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.