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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Stian Røvig Sletner
Ranheim
S U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
63%
43%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Ranheim 12. · Aalesund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 8 6 2 0 +16 20
2 Sogndal 8 5 0 3 +4 15
3 Start 8 4 2 2 +3 14
4 hodd 9 4 2 3 +0 14
5 Kongsvinger 8 4 1 3 +7 13
6 Aalesund 7 3 4 0 +5 13
7 Odd 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Egersund 7 4 1 2 +2 13
9 Raufoss 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Moss 8 4 0 4 -5 12
11 Stabaek 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Ranheim 8 3 1 4 -2 10
13 Asane 8 2 3 3 -3 9
14 Mjondalen 9 1 2 6 -14 5
15 Lyn 9 1 1 7 -6 4
16 Skeid 9 0 3 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ranheim Aalesund
7′
P. Ngongo 0–1
F. Heiselberg
18′
🟨 S. Haram
1–1 A. Samuelsen
33′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 O. Gudmundsson
↦ J. Gregersen
46′
🔁 J. Kitolano
↦ S. Haram
L. Kolstad 🔁
↦ V. Wenaas
57′
60′
🔁 C. Braga
↦ F. Heiselberg
60′
🔁 K. Lonebu
↦ H. Melland
L. Kolstad 🟨
67′
B. Bye 🔁
↦ L. Alvheim
69′
78′
🟨 P. Ngongo
S. Nilsen 🟨
78′
M. Emilsen 🔁
↦ O. Holden
82′
89′
🟥 P. Aukland
2–1 A. Samuelsen
90′
A. Samuelsen 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ranheim

1 S. Nilsen
19 J. Pereira
4 H. Rosten
2 P. Slordahl
15 E. Tonne
21 M. Johnsen
8 O. Holden
18 F. Camara
11 V. Wenaas
20 L. Alvheim
10 A. Samuelsen
Bench (7)
30 T. Solvoll
6 L. Kolstad
9 B. Bye
14 M. Emilsen
17 D. Torp-Helland
5 M. Diang
23 E. S. Myrvagnes

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
4 S. Haram
5 A. Kjelsen
45 P. Aukland
11 D. Johannsson
6 H. Hammer
15 J. Gregersen
8 H. Melland
7 K. Nesso
19 F. Heiselberg
9 P. Ngongo
Bench (7)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
10 C. Braga
25 J. Kitolano
33 M. V. Doving
34 T. Gulbrandsen
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.