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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Benfica
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,5
5,1
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,75 xG 1,19
52% Possession 48%
26 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
11 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
13 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -25 Benfica – Barcelona 4–5

Match report

Benfica Barcelona
22′
🟥 Pau Cubarsí
28′
🔁 R. Araujo
↦ Dani Olmo
Leandro Barreiro 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
António Silva 🟨
50′
56′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Lamine Yamal
S. Dahl 🔁
↦ Tomás Araújo
57′
61′
⚽ Raphinha 0–1
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ L. Barreiro
70′
João Rêgo 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
70′
Álvaro Carreras 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 Gerard Martín
↦ R. Lewandowski
79′
🔁 Marc Casadó
↦ F. de Jong
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
84′
Renato Sanches 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
84′
João Rêgo 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-3-3
1 A. Trubin G
44 Tomás Araújo D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
18 L. Barreiro M
8 F. Aursnes M
10 O. Kökçü M
17 K. Aktürkoğlu F
14 V. Pavlidis F
21 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (12)
26 S. Dahl
19 A. Belotti
84 João Rêgo
9 Arthur Cabral
85 Renato Sanches
81 A. Bajrami
71 Leandro Santos
60 Nuno Félix
79 Hugo Félix
86 Diogo Prioste
24 Samuel Soares
25 G. Prestianni

Coach: Bruno Lage

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczęsny G
23 J. Koundé D
2 Pau Cubarsí D
5 Iñigo Martínez D
3 Alejandro Balde D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
19 Lamine Yamal M
20 Dani Olmo M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
4 R. Araujo
7 Ferran Torres
35 Gerard Martín
17 Marc Casadó
13 Iñaki Peña
32 Héctor Fort
24 Eric García
18 Pau Víctor
10 Ansu Fati
14 Pablo Torre
31 D. Kochen
16 Fermín López

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.