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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Paris SG
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,7
Scored
4,2
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 74%
60%
88%
Points per game
1,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
40%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,82 xG 0,27
71% Possession 29%
27 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
14 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.